ITV Aintree Outsiders: Adrian picks out three horses who look overpriced
6 hours ago
CHELMSFORD (AW)
2 November 2023
Thursday 2nd November
Lingfield Tips
ABANDONED
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 7f
- Going: Standard To Slow
- Runners
- 8
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Polytrack
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Found a bright spurt to win going away over 6f at Kempton; bred to stay 7f
61
Age: 2
Weight: 9-11
OR: -
Days: 29
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 42yNv | 9-7 t | 1/12 | Honest Desire (1L) | 100/30 | - | 83 |
| 26 Aug 23 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 6f GF | 42yNv | 9-4 t1 | 6/12 | Eben Shaddad (6¾L) | 10/1 | - | 64 |
50-1, soundly beaten over 7f on debut; should come into his own in handicaps over further
7
Age: 2
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 23 | Lei Leicester | 7f GS | 32yMd | 9-7 | 7/8 | Ambiente Friendly (20L) | 50/1 | - | 38 |
Minor promise on 7f debut; soft ground perhaps unsuitable since; handicaps next
40
Age: 2
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 23 | Yar Yarmouth | 7f Sft | 42yNv | 9-4 | 11/12 | Telemark (14L) | 33/1 | - | 49 |
| 29 Sep 23 | Nmk Newmarket | 7f GF | 42yMd | 9-2 | 4/7 | Accumulate (9¾L) | 33/1 | - | 60 |
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 4 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (33%)
Has shown promise at 7f and 1m; return to 7f with hood added could help; can play big part
530
Age: 2
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 33
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 23 | Lon Longchamp | 8f GS | 2y | 9-0 | 10/13 | Islandsinthestream (7¼L) | 25/1 | - | 80 |
| 5 Sep 23 | Goo Goodwood | 8f Gd | 22yMd | 9-7 | 3/9 | Caviar Heights (5¾L) | 5/1 | - | 75 |
| 17 Aug 23 | Dea Deauville | 7f GS | 2y | 9-3 | 5/10 | Mirador (5¼L) | 51/10 | - | 75 |
50-1 for 7f debut at Yarmouth recently when slowly away and never involved; one to watch
Age: 2
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 23 | Yar Yarmouth | 7f Sft | 42yNv | 9-4 | 10/12 | Telemark (13½L) | 50/1 | - | 51 |
15-2 for C&D debut but found little in the straight; others much more likely
5
Age: 2
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 52yNv | 9-7 | 5/7 | Whip Cracker (12L) | 15/2 | - | 54 |
Looked promising when runner-up over C&D on second start; ripe for further improvement
72
Age: 2
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 52yNv | 9-7 t | 2/7 | Whip Cracker (6L) | 25/1 | - | 70 |
| 7 Oct 23 | Red Redcar | 7f Gd | 42yNv | 9-4 t1 | 7/13 | Respectful (7¾L) | 18/1 | - | 62 |
Signs of some ability at 6f and about 7f but looks to be making her way towards handicaps
35
Age: 2
Weight: 8-13
OR: -
Days: 61
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sep 23 | Bev Beverley | 7.5f Gd | 42yNvF | 9-2 | 5/7 | Zenjabeela (7½L) | 25/1 | - | 60 |
| 15 Aug 23 | Not Nottingham | 6f Gd | 52yMdF | 9-2 | 3/5 | Exponista (4¾L) | 6/1 | - | 61 |
Verdict
Louis Quatorze can be dangerous back at 7f but there was a lot to like about NEAPOLITAN's win at Kempton and he is preferred.
Neapolitan
Betting Forecast:
6/5 Neapolitan,
13/8 Louis Quatorze,
6/1 Wonder Smile,
10/1 Wide Margin,
14/1 Rose Branch,
25/1 Show Me A Hero,
50/1 Honrado,
66/1 Away Day
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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