ITV Aintree Outsiders: Adrian picks out three horses who look overpriced
11 hours ago
CARLISLE
5 November 2023
Sunday 5th November
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Braithwaite Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 1f 33y
- Going: Soft
- Runners
- 12
- Type
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Not disgraced on either start last season but others have more compelling form
73-
Age: 4
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 239
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 23 | Ayr Ayr | 16f Gd | 5NHF | 10-9 | 3/5 | Coniston George (10L) | 28/1 | - | 79 |
| 17 Feb 23 | Kel Kelso | 16f Gd | 4MdNHF | 10-9 | 7/9 | Kamsinas (9¾L) | 80/1 | - | 76 |
Won slow-ground Irish point in March; new yard has very respectable bumper strike-rate
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: -
Did not show enough on his two starts last season to warrant serious consideration
65-
Age: 4
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 220
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 23 | Hex Hexham | 16f Hy | 5NHF | 10-8 | 5/5 | Chance The Robin (28L) | 18/1 | - | 56 |
| 17 Feb 23 | Kel Kelso | 16f Gd | 4MdNHF | 10-2 | 6/9 | Kamsinas (9¾L) | 150/1 | - | 77 |
Bought for £48,000 after Irish point win in February; with good stable for rules career
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: -
First foal from half-sister to useful jumper Knight In Dubai; yard not prolific in bumpers
Form:
Age: 4
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: -
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 25 in the last 14 days (4%)
62,000euros 3yo; half-brother to a fair hurdler; stable has good bumper strike-rate
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: -
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Very promising rules debut when clear second at Bangor (soft) last month; likely contender
2
Age: 4
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 32
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 23 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 16.5f Sft | 4MdNHF | 11-1 | 2/10 | Cannock Park (4L) | 7/2F | - | 107 |
Well held when fourth on Irish point debut but that might have been a very good race
Form:
Age: 4
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: -
w1
Wind Op - First run after wind operation
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Only 7-1 for debut at Kelso in May but, after racing too freely, was tailed off
Age: 4
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 179
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 23 | Kel Kelso | 16f GS | 4NHF | 10-10 | 12/12 | St Cuthbert's Cave (60L) | 7/1 | - | 47 |
Half-sister to same connections' low-grade AW winner Ideal Dream; not the obvious answer
Form:
Age: 4
Weight: 10-9
OR: -
Days: -
Improved to win maiden point by 20l in May and was bought for £22,000 soon afterwards
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 10-9
OR: -
Days: -
Well beaten when 66-1 for last month's Sedgefield debut; can only be watched here
7
Age: 4
Weight: 10-9
OR: -
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 23 | Sed Sedgefield | 17f Gd | 4NHFM | 10-12 | 7/8 | Listentoyourheart (29L) | 66/1 | - | 81 |
Verdict
The suggestion is PANHANDLE SLIM, who was a long way clear of the third when second at Bangor last month.
Panhandle Slim
Betting Forecast:
5/2 Panhandle Slim,
7/2 Wal Buck's,
100/30 Denemethy,
7/1 Askmore,
Mister Meggit,
10/1 She Won't Mind,
25/1 Great Warford,
Wolfburg,
33/1 Adveram,
Ideal Vision,
66/1 Cave Hill,
100/1 Western Glen
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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