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18 March 2023
Saturday 18th March

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SAF

tips and comments for every race

Turffontein Tips

10:10 10:40 11:15 11:50 12:25 13:00 13:35 14:10 14:45
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection

Prix Exbury (Group 3) (4yo+) (Turf) Racecard

  • Channel: SKY
  • Distance: 1m 2f
  • Going: Very Soft
Runners
8

Type
Flat

Surface
Turf

Selection

No myracing analysis available for this race

No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1
(8)
Bakhchisaray silk
BF
Bakhchisaray t
J: Aurelien Lemaitre
T: F Vermeulen
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (0%)
Useful at up to Listed level but looks right up against it now in a Group 3
543-53
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
27 Feb 23 Cag Cagnes-Sur-Mer 10f St 9-11 t 5/8 Eliyass (2L) 8/5F - -
12 Feb 23 Cag Cagnes-Sur-Mer 10f St L 8-13 t 4/11 Hooking (3¼L) 57/10 - 103
22 Jan 23 Cag Cagnes-Sur-Mer 10f St 9-0 t 3/8 Kahuna (½L) 12/1 - 98
16 Dec 22 Dea Deauville 9.5f St 9-0 t 5/11 Hooking (4¾L) 41/5 - 95
13 Nov 22 Mrs Marseille Borely 10f Gd L 9-0 3/8 Sundoro (1¼L) 23/1 - 105
9 Oct 22 Par Lyon Parilly 12f VSft 9-2 t 5/7 Quick Flash (3¼L) 4/1 - -
2
(7)
Haya Zark silk
Haya Zark
J: Christophe Soumillon
T: Adrien Fouassier
Listed win lat summer but struggled at Group level previously
-71472
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
16 Jul 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 10f GS 3yG2 9-1 h 7/7 My Prospero (15L) 30/1 - 82
12 Jun 22 Lon Longchamp 10f GS 3yL 8-13 h 1/5 Russipant Fal (¾L) 4/1 - 99
8 May 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 10.5f GS 3yG2 9-2 h 4/6 Onesto (4¾L) 31/1 - 96
17 Apr 22 Lon Longchamp 8f GS 3yG3 9-2 h 7/10 Welwal (3¼L) 21/1 - 98
29 Mar 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 8f GS 3y 9-0 h 2/5 Erevann (snk) 11/1 - 89
16 Nov 21 Sai Saint-Cloud 8f Hy 2y 9-2 h 1/10 Goldoni (½L) EvensF - 90
3
(4)
Virtual Rock silk
Virtual Rock
J: Cristian Demuro
T: S Kobayashi
Smart form in defeat up to 1m7f last season; chances are this is being used as a prep
-34211
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 Sep 22 Lon Longchamp 15f GS 3yG3 9-0 3/6 Master Gatsby (2¼L) 4/1 - 99
15 Aug 22 Dea Deauville 14f GS 3yL 9-0 4/9 La Mehana (3¼L) 53/10 - 99
19 Jun 22 Cha Chantilly 12f GS 3yG3 9-2 2/8 Simca Mille (3½L) 16/1 - 98
23 Apr 22 Nan Nantes 12f VSft 3y 9-4 1/7 Greyval (6L) 14/5 - 91
28 Mar 22 Fnt Fontainebleau 11f GS 3y 9-2 1/10 Gold Mountain (shd) 17/1 - -
30 Nov 21 Dea Deauville 9.5f St 2y 9-2 6/16 Waldstar (3½L) 13/1 - 74
4
(1)
Skalleti silk
Skalleti
J: Gerald Mosse
T: J Reynier
Distance Specialist - 11 wins from 17 starts at this distance (65%)
Going Specialist - 3 wins from 4 starts on this ground (75%)
Winning machine in his career; only third last year but this looks weaker
-1513/
Age: 8
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
17 Nov 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 8f Hy L 9-1 1/8 Mathletic (¾L) 7/10F - 112
1 May 22 Lon Longchamp 10.5f GS G1 9-2 5/6 State Of Rest (2¼L) 9/10F - 111
10 Apr 22 Lon Longchamp 10f VSft G2 9-2 1/6 Sealiway (¾L) EvensF - 120
19 Mar 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 10f GS G3 9-4 3/9 Pretty Tiger (¾L) EvensF - 117
7 Nov 21 Cap Capannelle 10f Hy G2 9-3 1/10 Flag's Up (2L) 13/10F - 115
12 Sep 21 Lon Longchamp 12f Gd G2 9-2 4/6 Deep Bond (6¾L) 7/5F - 110
5
(2)
Surrey Mist silk
Surrey Mist
J: Ioritz Mendizabal
T: Kevin Philippart De Foy
Ready Listed winner when last seen; up in grade but strongly considered
74011-
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
19 Oct 22 Dea Deauville 12.5f Sft 3yL 9-0 1/9 Carini (4L) 42/10 - 108
3 Oct 22 Wdr Windsor 11.5f Gd 3Hc 9-4 1/11 Bad Company (2½L) 5/2F 89 101
27 Jul 22 Goo Goodwood 12f Gd 23yHc 8-13 11/13 Secret State (9¾L) 7/1 90 84
8 Jul 22 Asc Ascot 10f GF 3Hc 9-1 4/6 First Ruler (2L) 3/1 90 94
16 Jun 22 Asc Ascot 12f GF 23yHc 9-3 7/19 Secret State (2½L) 22/1 90 94
14 May 22 Nby Newbury 10f Gd 23yHc 9-1 2/12 Israr (½L) 7/1 85 94
6
(6)
Kertez silk
Kertez
J: Maxime Guyon
T: A Fabre
Course Specialist - 3 wins from 5 starts here (60%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 9 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (41%)
Group 2 third in October gives him definite claims and trainer started year in form
-34311
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
16 Oct 22 Lon Longchamp 11f VSft G2 9-2 3/5 Addeybb (1½L) 53/10 - 113
20 Jul 22 Vic Vichy 10f GS G3 9-4 4/6 Riocorvo (4L) 23/10 - 105
12 Jun 22 Lon Longchamp 10f GS G3 9-0 3/9 Monty (1L) 27/10F - 112
8 May 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 10f GS 9-0 1/6 Winter Reprise (snk) 8/5J - 103
5 Apr 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 10f Sft 9-3 1/8 Parol (nk) 4/5F - 108
10 Mar 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 10f Sft 4y 9-0 1/8 Sundoro (1¼L) 7/5F - 106
7
(5)
Craps silk
Craps
J: Stephane Pasquier
T: M Rulec
Useful sort but would rate a surprise winner of this
12-201
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
27 Feb 23 Cag Cagnes-Sur-Mer 11f Hy 9-0 1/16 Lepti Prinsadi (1¼L) 37/10F - 99
16 Jan 23 Cag Cagnes-Sur-Mer 11f Hy 8-13 2/16 Laos (shd) 47/10F - -
14 Nov 22 Lem Le Mans 10f Sft 9-4 2/8 Ommeel (hd) 57/10 - -
30 Oct 22 Cha Chantilly 8f St Hc 8-11 10/15 Josephino (6L) 13/1 - 74
17 Jan 22 Cag Cagnes-Sur-Mer 8f St 8-13 3/10 Pao Alto (2½L) 28/1 - -
25 Nov 21 Lls Lyon-La Soie 11f St 3y 9-0 4/10 Alessandro (4¼L) 51/1 - -
8
(3)
Flyingbeauty silk
Flyingbeauty
J: Alexis Pouchin
T: S Wattel
Progressive handicapper who won a Listed when last seen; more to offer but it's needed
-12113
Age: 6
Weight: 8-10
OR: -
Days: -
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
25 Nov 22 Fnt Fontainebleau 10f VSft L 9-1 1/18 Plesant Jane (¾L) 66/10 - 104
31 Oct 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 12.5f VSft HcF 9-5 2/14 Circe (hd) 15/2 - 89
19 Sep 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 15f GS Hc 8-8 1/16 Srifanelogreen (2½L) 138/10 - -
14 Aug 22 Dea Deauville 12.5f GS Hc 9-3 1/12 Nice Stroke (hd) 21/10F - 90
3 Jul 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 12f GS Hc 8-5 3/16 Panjaman (¾L) 13/1 - 82
1 Jun 22 Sai Saint-Cloud 10f GS HcF 8-6 UR/16 Sweet Victory () 25/1 - -
Verdict

It could be worth chancing British runner SURREY MIST, with Skalleti unlikely to be full wound up

Verdict silk image
Surrey Mist

Betting Forecast:

5/4 Skalleti,

4/1 Kertez,

5/1 Surrey Mist,

8/1 Virtual Rock,

12/1 Haya Zark,

14/1 Flyingbeauty,

20/1 Bakhchisaray,

25/1 Craps

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