ASCOT
15 February 2020
Saturday 15th February

ITV Racing Tips

13:50 14:05 14:25 14:40 15:00 15:15 15:35

Gowran Park Tips

13:10 13:44 14:19 14:54 15:29 16:04 16:39

Ascot Tips

13:15 13:50 14:25 15:00 15:35 16:10 16:45

Lingfield (AW) Tips

13:25 14:00 14:35 15:10 15:45 16:20

Haydock Tips

13:30 14:05 14:40 15:15 15:50 16:25 17:00

Newcastle (AW) Tips

16:55 17:30 18:00 18:30 19:00 19:30 20:00 20:30
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection

Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) (Class 1)

  • Channel: ITV
  • Distance: 2m 7f 180y
  • Going: Soft
Ascot
Runners
8

Type
Chase Turf

Surface
Turf

Weather
Rain

Selection

No myracing analysis available for this race

No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1
Ballyoptic silk
D
Ballyoptic t
J: Sam Twiston-Davies
T: Nigel Twiston-Davies
D
5 x Distance Winner - Won 5 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (4%)
Recorded a career-best RPR when landing the Charlie Hall at Wetherby back in November, but he has shown very little in his two starts since. Given a break since disappointing in the Becher at Aintree in December; plenty to prove on his reappearance.
Latest two defeats excusable; claims on previous Grade 2 Charlie Hall win
F-1140
Age: 10
Weight: 11-10
OR: 157
Days: 70
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
7 Dec 19 Ain Aintree 26f Sft HcChG3 11-12 t 11/18 Walk In The Mill (81L) 9/1 159 89
23 Nov 19 Hay Haydock 25.5f GS ChG1 11-7 t 4/4 Lostintranslation (44L) 12/1 159 131
2 Nov 19 Wet Wetherby 24f Sft ChG2 11-0 t 1/7 Elegant Escape (3¾L) 11/4 157 164
12 Oct 19 Chp Chepstow 23.5f Sft 2HcCh 11-12 t 1/7 Lil Rockerfeller (9L) 9/2 152 161
6 Apr 19 Ain Aintree 34.5f GS HcChG3 11-1 F/40 Tiger Roll () 25/1 155 -
16 Feb 19 Hay Haydock 28.5f Gd HcChG3 11-11 t PU/15 Robinsfirth () 12/1 155 -
2
Valtor silk
CD
C
D
Valtor
J: Daryl Jacob
T: Nicky Henderson
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 10 wins from 30 in the last 14 days (33%)
Justified favouritism to land a novice hurdle here on his seasonal reappearance; now 2-2 at this venue. Not disgraced back over fences in the Portman Cup at Taunton latest and this mark looks workable on his return to handicaps; interesting.
Two from two here, including in valuable C&D handicap chase 14 months ago; good last run
P0-153
Age: 11
Weight: 11-3
OR: 150
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
18 Jan 20 Tau Taunton 28.5f Hy 2Ch 11-0 3/6 Yala Enki (7L) 5/1 153 155
14 Dec 19 Chl Cheltenham 24f Sft NvHG2 11-1 5/8 Redford Road (9¼L) 6/1 148 132
23 Nov 19 Asc Ascot 21.5f Sft 2NvH 10-12 1/5 Redford Road (2L) 10/11F 152 129
6 Apr 19 Ain Aintree 34.5f GS HcChG3 11-6 18/40 Tiger Roll (76L) 66/1 160 102
26 Jan 19 Chl Cheltenham 25.5f GS ChG2 11-4 PU/6 Frodon () 6/1 160 -
22 Dec 18 Asc Ascot 24f Sft HcChL 11-3 1/12 Jammin Masters (8L) 33/1 148 159
3
Domaine De L'Isle silk
C
D
Domaine De L'Isle t
J: Brian Hughes
T: Sean Curran
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Fast-improving sort who has now won his last three starts, bringing up the hat-trick in a 2m5f handicap here last time out. Should benefit from the extra yardage on offer today, but a six-pound rise pushes him up to a tricky mark.
Won valuable 2m5f contest here (heavy) last time; return to further now will suit
-36111
Age: 7
Weight: 10-13
OR: 146
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
18 Jan 20 Asc Ascot 21f Hy 2HcCh 10-13 t 1/8 Bennys King (nk) 5/1 140 148
4 Jan 20 Ncs Newcastle 23.5f Sft 3HcCh 11-8 t 1/8 Sam's Adventure (5½L) 3/1 130 144
7 Dec 19 Chp Chepstow 19.5f Sft 4HcCh 11-12 t 1/9 Indian Brave (10L) 9/2 120 140
7 Nov 19 Nby Newbury 20f GS 3HcCh 10-13 t1 6/11 Azzerti (7½L) 50/1 122 121
6 May 19 Kem Kempton 24.5f Gd 4NvH 10-10 3/5 No Hidden Charges (9L) 11/1 - 111
1 Feb 19 Pau Pau 20f Hy HcCh 10-6 4/16 Violon De Brejoux (13½L) 50/1 - -
4
Regal Encore silk
CD
D
Regal Encore t
J: Richie McLernon
T: Anthony Honeyball
CD
3 x C&D Winner - Won 3 times before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Admirable veteran who has now recorded four of his top five RPR’s here, staying on well to land a Listed handicap over course and distance last time out. Just four pounds higher today, but his overall profile suggests a follow-up win is unlikely.
Won valuable race over C&D (heavy) last time in December; going back up 4lb is fair
2082P1
Age: 12
Weight: 10-13
OR: 146
Days: 56
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
21 Dec 19 Asc Ascot 24f Hy HcChL 10-7 t 1/10 Acting Lass (¾L) 16/1 142 150
30 Nov 19 Nby Newbury 26f GS HcChG3 10-9 t PU/24 De Rasher Counter () 25/1 143 -
2 Nov 19 Asc Ascot 24f GS HcChG3 10-5 t 2/16 Vinndication (5L) 20/1 142 147
11 Oct 19 Chp Chepstow 23.5f Sft 2HcCh 11-12 8/9 Vieux Lion Rouge (34L) 11/1 145 119
31 Jul 19 Gal Galway 22.5f Gd HcCh 10-10 17/22 Borice (75L) 33/1 144 79
4 May 19 Pun Punchestown 31f Gd/Y HcCh 11-10 2/17 Cloudy Morning (18L) 12/1 145 148
5
Red Indian silk
BF
Red Indian
J: Ben Jones 3
T: Kelly Morgan
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Wide-margin winner on his stable debut at Ayr back in November 2018. Has failed to add to that from his five starts since, but he was well-punted in the Peter Marsh at Haydock on last month’s reappearance; two pounds lower today; respected.
On a good mark on the pick of last season's novice form; made a promising return
4U00-5
Age: 8
Weight: 10-8
OR: 141
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
18 Jan 20 Hay Haydock 25.5f Hy HcChG2 10-6 5/10 Vintage Clouds (14½L) 5/1J 143 135
6 Apr 19 Ain Aintree 24.5f Gd HcHG3 10-7 p1 16/21 Aux Ptits Soins (46L) 16/1 139 102
12 Mar 19 Chl Cheltenham 20f Sft NvHcChL 11-7 11/20 A Plus Tard (51L) 16/1 145 116
22 Jan 19 Kel Kelso 21.5f Gd 4NvCh 11-4 UR/3 Western Rules () 1/5F 145 -
26 Dec 18 Kem Kempton 24f GS NvChG1 11-7 4/7 La Bague Au Roi (14½L) 25/1 145 149
29 Nov 18 Ayr Ayr 21.5f Hy 4NvCh 10-12 1/5 No Hassle Hoff (15L) 7/2 - 149
6
Captain Drake silk
D
Captain Drake p
J: Sean Bowen
T: Harry Fry
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Got his head in front at the third attempt in this sphere when justifying favouritism to land a handicap chase at Exeter on New Year’s Day. Had plenty in hand there, but the handicapper has reacted by pushing him up almost a stone.
Career-best performance at Exeter (3m, soft); up 13lb but improving
2-07U1
Age: 7
Weight: 10-7
OR: 140
Days: 45
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 Jan 20 Exe Exeter 24.5f Sft 3HcCh 11-9 p 1/10 The Kings Writ (5½L) 7/2F 127 143
13 Nov 19 Exe Exeter 24.5f Sft 3NvHcCh 11-2 p1 UR/11 Notachance () 14/1 127 125
18 Oct 19 Utt Uttoxeter 22.5f Sft 3NvHcCh 11-2 h 7/8 Diablo De Rouhet (46L) 15/8F 129 98
2 May 19 Pun Punchestown 24f Gd/Y HcH 10-11 h 12/23 My Sister Sarah (28L) 18/1 127 106
23 Mar 19 Kel Kelso 26f Gd 2HcH 11-4 h 2/9 Burrows Park (3¼L) 3/1 127 129
4 Mar 19 Sth Southwell 24f Gd 3HcH 11-6 h 1/9 Creep Desbois (16L) 6/4F 121 129
7
Like The Sound silk
Like The Sound t
J: Paddy Brennan
T: Charlie Mann
Bounced back from a first-fence fall in the Becher when a 33/1 third at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day. Gets in here running off the same handicap mark, but he is yet to defy a rating this high and others in this line-up arrive looking less exposed.
Strong stayer who would be better served by further than this
U1-9F3
Age: 9
Weight: 10-6
OR: 139
Days: 45
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 Jan 20 Chl Cheltenham 26.5f Sft 2HcCh 11-8 t 3/10 Doing Fine (5¼L) 33/1 139 143
7 Dec 19 Ain Aintree 26f Sft HcChG3 10-6 t F/18 Walk In The Mill () 33/1 139 -
21 Nov 19 Mar Market Rasen 23f Sft 2HcH 11-12 t 9/9 Rapper (14L) 20/1 134 128
19 Mar 19 Tau Taunton 28.5f Sft 3HcCh 11-10 t 1/5 Pobbles Bay (1L) 9/2 132 143
11 Mar 19 Tau Taunton 28.5f GS 3HcCh 11-4 t UR/8 Samuel Jackson () 9/1 132 -
16 Feb 19 Wcn Wincanton 25f Gd 3HcCh 11-5 t PU/9 Some Chaos () 5/2F 131 -
8
Jepeck silk
D
Jepeck
J: Rex Dingle 3
T: Anthony Honeyball
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Transferred his good recent hurdles form into this sphere when landing the veterans’ chase final at Sandown last month. Seven pounds higher today, however, and this represents a step up in class; should find at least a couple too strong.
Good latest Sandown win; up 7lb but in top form and likely to run well
2-1211
Age: 11
Weight: 10-6
OR: 139
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
4 Jan 20 San Sandown 24f Sft 2HcCh 10-11 1/14 Regal Flow (shd) 3/1F 132 139
7 Dec 19 Chp Chepstow 23.5f Sft 4NvH 11-2 1/8 Blackjack Kentucky (1¼L) 3/1 129 130
15 Nov 19 Sth Southwell 24f Hy 4NvH 11-4 2/5 The Mulcair (11L) 10/11F 129 130
13 Nov 19 Ban Bangor-on-Dee 23f Hy 4NvH 10-7 1/4 Dino Boy (19L) 2/1 129 133
17 Mar 19 Crl Carlisle 24.5f Hy 2HcCh 10-4 2/6 Takingrisks (2¾L) 5/4F 127 140
22 Feb 19 Exe Exeter 30.5f GS 3HcCh 11-1 6/15 Dawson City (21L) 4/1F 127 117
Verdict

Preference is for RED INDIAN who ran with sufficient promise on last month's return to suggest he will now be very close to peak form.

Verdict silk image
Red Indian

Betting Forecast:

100/30 Domaine De L'Isle,

4/1 Valtor,

5/1 Red Indian,

6/1 Captain Drake,

13/2 Regal Encore,

8/1 Jepeck,

9/1 Ballyoptic,

14/1 Like The Sound

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