ASCOT
12 July 2019
Friday 12th July

Itv Racing Tips

13:50 14:25 14:40 15:00 15:15 15:35

Newmarket (july) Tips

13:50 14:25 15:00 15:35 16:10 16:45 17:20

York Tips

14:05 14:40 15:15 15:45 16:20 16:55 17:30

Ascot Tips

14:15 14:50 15:25 16:00 16:35 17:10 17:45

Cork Tips

17:40 18:15 18:45 19:20 19:50 20:25 20:55

Chester Tips

17:50 18:20 18:55 19:25 20:00 20:30 21:00

Chepstow Tips

18:00 18:30 19:05 19:35 20:10 20:40 21:10

Ffos Las Tips

18:10 18:40 19:15 19:45 20:20 20:50

International Races International Races

Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection

Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith Memorial Handicap (Class 3)

  • Channel: SKY
  • Distance: 6f
  • Going: Good To Firm
Ascot
Runners
10

Type
Flat

Surface
Turf

Stalls
Stands' side

Weather
Partly cloudy

Selection

No myracing analysis available for this race

No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1
(2)
Silk colours for Louie De Palma
CD
D
BF
Louie De Palma
J: Adam Kirby
T: Clive Cox
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
In good form this term, winning over C&D in May (soft) before going close at Newmarket (good to firm) and Windsor (good) last month. Should be on the premises again today.
Made all over C&D in May and has gone close in both subsequent runs; key player
0-5123
Age: 7
Weight: 10-1
OR: 96
Days: 18
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
24 Jun 19Wdr Windsor6f Gd3Hc10-1 3/9Open Wide (¾L)3/1J96101
8 Jun 19Nmk Newmarket (July)6f GF2Hc9-5 2/13Flavius Titus (nk)9/193101
10 May 19Asc Ascot6f Sft3Hc9-1 1/11Vegas Boy (½L)6/18997
31 Mar 19Don Doncaster6f GF3Hc9-1 5/17Foolaad (1L)13/28993
27 Oct 18Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw3Hc8-11 10/11Polybius (9¾L)7/19069
3 Oct 18Sal Salisbury6f Gd2Hc9-0 2/8Helvetian (nk)9/28894
2
(3)
Silk colours for Polybius
D
Polybius
J: Jason Watson
T: David Simcock
D
6 x Distance Winner - Won 6 times before at this distance
Hasn’t fired in Class 2 events at York (7f, good to firm) and Windsor (6f, good to firm) this season, down to the same mark now as AW win at Kempton in October but needs a revival.
On workable mark but needs to rediscover some spark on this drop back in grade
145-66
Age: 8
Weight: 10-0
OR: 95
Days: 11
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
1 Jul 19Wdr Windsor6f GF2Hc9-11 6/7Embour (3¼L)8/19592
25 May 19Yor York7f GF2Hc9-2 h16/8Cardsharp (6L)18/19689
15 Dec 18Ncs Newcastle (AW)7f St2Hc9-7 5/5Sanaadh (4L)7/29792
5 Dec 18Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw2Hc9-1 4/8Island Of Life (2¼L)7/29798
27 Oct 18Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw3Hc9-7 1/11Procedure (1L)9/293103
23 Oct 18Ncs Newcastle (AW)6f St2ClHc9-3 7/14Glenamoy Lad (3¼L)8/19391
3
(9)
Silk colours for Margub
BF
Margub
J: Dane O'Neill
T: Marcus Tregoning
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Easy win over 7f at Wolverhampton in April but struggled to cope with 10lb hike at Chelmsford last time, mark unchanged for this return to turf and looks opposable down in trip.
Still 10lb higher than for Wolverhampton win and has work to do back at 6f on turf
172-15
Age: 4
Weight: 10-0
OR: 95
Days: 64
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
9 May 19Cfd Chelmsford (AW)7f St2Hc9-2 5/6Victory Wave (3¾L)9/4F9595
23 Apr 19Wol Wolverhampton (AW)7f St3Hc9-2 1/10Elerfaan (3½L)7/2F85102
18 Sep 18Lin Lingfield (AW)7f St4Hc9-4 2/6Lethal Lunch (2½L)11/8F8587
8 Sep 18Kem Kempton (AW)7f St/Slw4Hc9-6 7/12Redgrave (1¼L)7/28586
4 Aug 18Cfd Chelmsford (AW)7f St4Nv9-8 1/8Emphatic (3¼L)1/3F-88
6 Jul 18Cfd Chelmsford (AW)7f St/Slw5Nv9-2 1/9Domestic Way (9L)EvensF-82
4
(10)
Silk colours for Sunsprite
D
Sunsprite p 1
J: Shane Kelly
T: Richard Hughes
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Third in Ripon Listed contest last term, kicked off current campaign with below par runs at Newbury/Newmarket but returned to form with close second over this trip at Windsor (good) last time. One to consider with cheekpieces on first time.
Resumed his progress with close second at Windsor and is respected with cheekpieces added
13-672
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
OR: 96
Days: 18
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
24 Jun 19Wdr Windsor6f Gd3Hc9-7 2/9Open Wide (½L)7/19599
8 Jun 19Nmk Newmarket (July)7f GF23yHc9-5 7/12Awe (3½L)20/19796
18 May 19Nby Newbury6f Gd3yL9-0 6/12Khaadem (7¼L)14/19984
27 Aug 18Rip Ripon6f GS2yL9-3 3/7Sporting Chance (1½L)10/19397
5 Aug 18Chs Chester6f Gd22y9-5 1/5Finoah (shd)3/18993
17 Jun 18Sal Salisbury6f GF22yNv9-7 1/8Magical Wish (shd)4/1-87
5
(1)
Silk colours for Concierge
D
Concierge
J: Harry Bentley
T: George Scott
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 3 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (27%)
Generally progressive last term including when winning comfortably over this trip in Class 2 at Newcastle in October, nowhere near that standard in two runs so far this season however and looks up against it here.
Has some questions to answer and needs to bounce back near his best
11-850
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
OR: 94
Days: 69
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
4 May 19Nmk Newmarket6f Gd23yHc9-6 p110/12Moyassar (13L)12/19767
19 Apr 19Lin Lingfield (AW)6f St23y9-5 5/12Pizzicato (5L)7/19988
23 Feb 19Doh Doha8f Gd3y9-2 8/14Global Spectrum (11L)-68
21 Dec 18Doh Doha7f Gd2y9-2 1/10Luchador (shd)-92
23 Oct 18Ncs Newcastle (AW)6f St22y9-9 1/8Princes Des Sables (2¾L)8/188100
12 Oct 18Yor York5.5f Gd32yHc9-6 5/13Blyton (2¼L)13/28883
6
(5)
Silk colours for Normandy Barriere
CD
D
Normandy Barriere p
J: Izzy Clifton 7
T: Nigel Tinkler
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
5 x Distance Winner - Won 5 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 32 in the last 14 days (25%)
Long Traveller - Trained 150+ miles from racecourse
Had been in the doldrums for some time prior to close third from this mark at Haydock (6f, good to firm) last week, a combination of that and this quick turnout are signs that better things could be just around the corner and he’s well handicapped on plenty of old form.
Third off reduced mark at Haydock last Saturday and dangerous if he can back that up
005593
Age: 7
Weight: 9-6
OR: 87
Days: 6
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
6 Jul 19Hay Haydock6f GF4Hc9-10 p3/12Gabrial The Devil (1¾L)14/18791
17 Jun 19Wdr Windsor6f GS3Hc9-4 p9/9Molls Memory (8L)20/19071
25 May 19Yor York7f GF2Hc8-11 p15/8Cardsharp (5¾L)16/19689
17 May 19Nby Newbury6f Gd2Hc8-10 5/9Embour (4¾L)11/19488
27 Apr 19Rip Ripon6f Gd2Hc8-7 12/15Reputation (12½L)25/19668
16 Apr 19Nmk Newmarket6f GF2Hc9-6 13/15Flavius Titus (8¼L)11/19679
7
(8)
Silk colours for Vegas Boy
D
Vegas Boy t
J: Nicola Currie
T: Jamie Osborne
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Trainer Course Specialist - 20%+ strike rate here in current & past 5 seasons
In and out profile but he’s now 2lb lower than when second to Louie De Palma over C&D in May, 9lbs better off with that rival here and has significant claims if on a going day.
On dangerous mark but not easy to predict and comes with risks attached back up in grade
-52946
Age: 4
Weight: 9-2
OR: 83
Days: 20
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
22 Jun 19Nmk Newmarket (July)6f Gd4Hc10-0 t6/11Suzi's Connoisseur (3½L)10/18583
8 Jun 19Lin Lingfield6f GS4Hc9-9 t4/6Buridan (4¾L)6/18780
20 May 19Wdr Windsor6f Gd3Hc8-13 t9/10Equitation (7¾L)11/28771
10 May 19Asc Ascot6f Sft3Hc8-11 t2/11Louie De Palma (½L)14/18591
25 Apr 19Cfd Chelmsford (AW)6f St3Hc9-2 5/8Walk On Walter (3½L)14/18786
27 Oct 18Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw3Hc8-11 t7/11Polybius (4L)12/18785
8
(6)
Silk colours for Lightning Charlie
CD
D
Lightning Charlie
J: Pat Dobbs
T: Amanda Perrett
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
6 x Distance Winner - Won 6 times before at this distance
Only Ride - Jockey's only ride at the meeting
Just 2-31 on turf but he won this race in 2017 from 8lb higher and was second last year from a 3lb higher mark. Recent form is off putting (well beaten all five starts in 2019) but he’s dangerous to discount if this has been his target.
Won this in 2017 and was runner-up last year but has not fired in five runs this season
-48646
Age: 7
Weight: 8-11
OR: 78
Days: 24
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
18 Jun 19Bri Brighton6f GF4Hc9-7 p16/8Little Boy Blue (6¾L)8/18071
7 Jun 19Bri Brighton6f Gd4Hc9-9 4/7Diamond Lady (2¼L)11/48182
10 May 19Asc Ascot6f Sft3Hc8-9 6/11Louie De Palma (2½L)20/18383
8 Apr 19Wdr Windsor6f Gd3Hc9-2 8/11Diamond Dougal (5¾L)9/18474
23 Mar 19Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw4Hc9-7 4/8Soldier's Minute (5¾L)10/18581
27 Oct 18Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw3Hc8-13 8/11Polybius (5L)14/18580
9
(4)
Silk colours for Swindler
BF
Swindler
J: Liam Keniry
T: Ed Walker
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Placed in all three maiden starts over this trip including when a close third of 10 at Nottingham (good) in October. The winner of that race is now rated 114, and on that basis he has obvious claims from this opening mark on seasonal/handicap debut.
Placed in all three 2yo runs and is interesting on this handicap/seasonal debut
223-
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: 82
Days: 275
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
10 Oct 18Not Nottingham6f Gd52yNv9-2 3/10Mohaather (hd)11/10F-81
18 Sep 18Yar Yarmouth6f GF42yNv9-2 2/7Magic J (1¼L)13/8F-80
20 Aug 18Wdr Windsor6f GF42yMd9-5 2/16Fares Kodiac (nse)20/1-80
10
(7)
Silk colours for Doc Sportello
D
Doc Sportello p
J: Darragh Keenan 5
T: Tony Carroll
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Turf rating is 10lb lower than on the AW but that’s more than justified after gaining only win on grass three years ago. Well beaten in weaker races last three starts and easy to dismiss today.
Sole turf win was back in 2016; has never raced on ground with firm in the description
-10096
Age: 7
Weight: 8-9
OR: 74
Days: 25
DateCourseRaceTypeWeightPos1st/2ndSPORRPR
17 Jun 19Wdr Windsor6f GS3Hc8-2 p6/9Molls Memory (1½L)40/17678
10 May 19Rip Ripon6f GS4Hc9-4 9/9Dark Defender (9L)14/18061
8 Apr 19Wdr Windsor6f Gd3Hc9-4 10/11Diamond Dougal (8¾L)50/18667
9 Mar 19Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw3Hc9-3 11/11Treacherous (7L)11/18669
16 Jan 19Kem Kempton (AW)6f St/Slw4Hc9-7 1/6Bernie's Boy (½L)10/18591
30 Dec 18Lin Lingfield (AW)6f St3Hc9-0 6/6Merhoob (6L)16/18774
Verdict

It might be worth siding with LOUIE DE PALMA, who has made a bold bid on his last two starts and is 2-2 over this C&D.

Verdict silk image
Louie De Palma

Betting Forecast:

7/2 Louie De Palma,

4/1 Sunsprite,

9/2 Normandy Barriere,

Swindler,

8/1 Margub,

10/1 Polybius,

12/1 Vegas Boy,

Lightning Charlie,

16/1 Doc Sportello,

20/1 Concierge

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