1:50pm Newbury Racecard & Odds - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) - 18/05/2019
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NEWBURY
18 May 2019
Saturday 18th May

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Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1)

  • Channel: ITV
  • Distance: 6f
  • Going: Good
Newbury
Runners
12

Type
Flat

Surface
Turf

Stalls
Centre

Weather
Cloudy

Selection

No myracing analysis available for this race

No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1
(6)
Silk colours for Barbill
BF
Barbill
J: Gerald Mosse
T: Mick Channon
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 21 in the last 14 days (0%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 33 in the last 14 days (0%)
French Listed winner last year, but he has been a beaten favourite in both starts so far this campaign, latterly in a French Group 3. Faces a tough task here conceding weight all around, and his best form has come with cut in the ground.
Three sprint wins last year inc French Listed but below form both starts 2019; 3lb penalty
321-46
Age: 3
Weight: 9-3
OR: 102
Days: 35
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
13 Apr 19 Cha Chantilly 5.5f GS 3yG3 9-0 6/8 Big Brothers Pride (6¼L) 6/4F - 94
20 Feb 19 Ncs Newcastle (AW) 6f St/Slw 23y 9-3 4/7 Deep Intrigue (1½L) 13/8F 103 86
13 Nov 18 Cha Chantilly 5.5f VSft 2yL 8-13 1/10 Rockin Roy (2½L) 2/1F - 100
27 Oct 18 Don Doncaster 6f GS 2yL 9-1 2/9 San Donato (¾L) 13/2 100 100
12 Oct 18 Nmk Newmarket 5f GF 2yG3 9-1 3/14 Sergei Prokofiev (3½L) 16/1 102 98
16 Sep 18 Cur Curragh 6.5f Gd/Y 2y 9-3 1/18 Flashcard (½L) 6/1 - 95
2
(12)
Silk colours for Dunkerron
D
Dunkerron
J: Oisin Murphy
T: Alan King
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Useful juvenile last season; gaining two wins in novice company prior to running fine races in defeat in Group 2’s. His form tailed off at the backend of the season, however, and he does look potentially vulnerable to a race-fit rival here.
Two 6f novice wins, before twice running well in 6f-7f G2s; below form final two runs 2018
14264-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 104
Days: 233
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
27 Sep 18 Nmk Newmarket 7f Gd 2yG3 9-0 4/7 Arctic Sound (6L) 15/2 107 93
1 Sep 18 San Sandown 7f Gd 2yG3 9-1 6/6 Too Darn Hot (22L) 15/2 108 62
31 Jul 18 Goo Goodwood 7f Gd 2yG2 9-1 2/12 Dark Vision (1¾L) 9/1 103 106
12 Jul 18 Nmk Newmarket (July) 6f GF 2yG2 9-0 4/8 Advertise (3L) 20/1 88 103
30 Jun 18 Yor York 6f GF 32yNv 9-8 1/7 Three Card Trick (1¾L) 13/8F - 89
11 Jun 18 Wdr Windsor 6f GF 42yNv 9-2 1/16 Dirty Rascal (3¼L) 7/1 - 82
3
(9)
Silk colours for Junius Brutus
D
Junius Brutus
J: Silvestre De Sousa
T: Ralph Beckett
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Going Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts on this ground (67%)
Landed a conditions race at Ripon on just his second start for these connections, but he failed to add to that success from his three subsequent runs; trailed home last of eight runners in a French Group 2 last time. Something to prove on the back of that.
Three minor wins and Group 3 placed last year; below form final two starts of campaign
01208-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 100
Days: 217
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
13 Oct 18 Msn Maisons-Laffitte 6f Sft 2yG2 9-2 8/8 Hello Youmzain (11L) 13/1 - 80
21 Sep 18 Ayr Ayr 5f Hy 2yL 9-3 11/12 Dave Dexter (14L) 5/1 100 49
8 Sep 18 Kem Kempton (AW) 6f St/Slw 2yG3 9-1 2/5 Kessaar (2½L) 3/1 99 99
18 Aug 18 Rip Ripon 6f Gd 32y 9-6 1/5 Yousini (1½L) 3/1 - 98
31 Jul 18 Goo Goodwood 7f Gd 2yG2 9-1 10/12 Dark Vision (15½L) 13/2 - 72
23 Jun 18 Asc Ascot 5f GF 2yL 9-3 t1 6/28 Soldier's Call (3½L) 17/2 - 94
4
(7)
Silk colours for Khaadem
D
Khaadem
J: James Doyle
T: Charles Hills
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Distance Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts at this distance (67%)
Built on a promising debut at Newmarket to win his next two races; latest success coming in a conditions race at Doncaster when last seen in September. This is a more competitive assignment, however, so another jolt of improvement is demanded here.
Won two relatively minor races, notably Doncaster conditions contest last year; promising
311-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 105
Days: 248
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
12 Sep 18 Don Doncaster 6f GS 22y 8-13 1/7 Swissterious (1¼L) 11/8F - 103
18 Aug 18 Nmk Newmarket (July) 6f Gd 42yNv 9-2 1/8 Aquanura (3¾L) 11/8F - 86
9 Jun 18 Nmk Newmarket (July) 6f GF 42yNv 9-2 3/9 Calyx (11L) 11/2 - 65
5
(11)
Silk colours for Konchek
w2
Konchek
J: Adam Kirby
T: Clive Cox
w2
Wind Op - Second run after wind operation
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (4%)
Had some useful form to his name at two, but his form dipped at the backend of the season. Shaped with promise on his reappearance at Ascot last month, but he does look vulnerable to a less exposed rival today.
Ran creditably in good company last year, and encouraging third in Ascot Group 3 on return
2446-3
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 104
Days: 17
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 May 19 Asc Ascot 6f GF 3yG3 9-1 3/7 Calyx (4½L) 14/1 104 100
22 Sep 18 Nby Newbury 6f Sft 2yG2 9-1 t1 6/7 Kessaar (16½L) 15/2 105 65
8 Sep 18 Kem Kempton (AW) 6f St/Slw 2yG3 9-1 4/5 Kessaar (5¼L) 5/2 106 90
2 Aug 18 Goo Goodwood 6f Gd 2yG2 9-0 4/9 King Of Yulong (1½L) 6/1 106 105
12 Jul 18 Nmk Newmarket (July) 6f GF 2yG2 9-0 2/8 Advertise (2L) 10/1 99 106
21 Jun 18 Asc Ascot 5f GF 2yG2 9-1 5/10 Shang Shang Shang (2L) 9/2 - 98
6
(10)
Silk colours for Moyassar
D
Moyassar
J: Jim Crowley
T: Richard Hannon
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Took his form to a new level when running out a ready winner of a handicap at Newmarket earlier this month. A nine-pound rise forces him into Listed company though, and he needs to prove that he is up to this level.
Progressive; smart, clear win in Class 2 Newmarket handicap under top weight latest
232-81
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 107
Days: 14
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
4 May 19 Nmk Newmarket 6f Gd 23yHc 9-7 1/12 Mawakib (2½L) 10/1 98 110
17 Apr 19 Nmk Newmarket 6f GF 23yHc 9-7 8/11 Top Breeze (4½L) 6/1 98 90
31 Oct 18 Not Nottingham 5f GF 22yHc 9-10 2/7 She Can Boogie (shd) 6/4F 94 100
22 Aug 18 Yor York 6f GF 22yHc 9-4 3/18 Ginger Nut (½L) 7/1 88 93
9 Aug 18 Hay Haydock 6f GF 42yNv 9-8 2/8 Blyton (1¼L) 4/7F 88 79
24 Jul 18 Cfd Chelmsford (AW) 6f St 42yNv 9-2 1/11 Swiper (5L) 4/9F - 89
7
(4)
Silk colours for Oxted
Oxted
J: P J McDonald
T: Roger Teal
Built on a modest debut at Doncaster to run out a 25/1 winner of a Salisbury novice race on his seasonal reappearance last month. The drop back to six furlongs should not inconvenience today, but this is a marked step up in class from his last run.
Won 7f Salisbury novice on second start on reappearance, but this is so much tougher
5-1
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 20
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
28 Apr 19 Sal Salisbury 7f GF 53yNv 9-0 1/10 The Night Watch (2¼L) 25/1 - 80
10 Nov 18 Don Doncaster 6f Sft 42yMd 9-5 5/14 Dazzling Dan (9L) 33/1 - 62
8
(3)
Silk colours for Space Traveller
Space Traveller
J: Daniel Tudhope
T: Richard Fahey
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 14 wins from 57 in the last 14 days (25%)
Winner of back to back novice races early in his career, but he has found life tougher since. Respectable second in the Free Handicap at Newmarket on his return to action last month, but he does need more to trouble the best of these.
Good over sprint trips last year, Group 3 placed; 2nd in 7f Listed Free Handicap on return
7287-2
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 103
Days: 32
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
16 Apr 19 Nmk Newmarket 7f GF 3yHcL 8-13 2/7 Shine So Bright (1¾L) 10/1 102 102
13 Oct 18 Yor York 6f Sft 2yL 9-1 b1 7/10 Vintage Brut (10½L) 5/1 104 77
29 Sep 18 Nmk Newmarket 6f GF 2yG1 9-0 v1 8/8 Ten Sovereigns (7½L) 33/1 104 98
17 Sep 18 Msn Maisons-Laffitte 6f GS 2yG3 8-11 2/10 Sporting Chance (1¼L) 81/10 - 103
24 Aug 18 Yor York 6f GF 2yG2 9-0 7/9 Emaraaty Ana (5½L) 5/1 97 93
19 Jul 18 Ham Hamilton 5f GF 42yNv 9-8 1/5 Epona (3½L) 30/100F - 94
9
(2)
Silk colours for Sunsprite
D
Sunsprite
J: Ryan Moore
T: Richard Hughes
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Distance Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts at this distance (67%)
Winner of three of his five starts to date; not disgraced in a Listed race at Ripon when last seen in August. This looks a stronger race, however, and he is entitled to need his first start back.
Three minor wins before third in Ripon Listed race last season; more needed, but potential
51113-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 99
Days: 264
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
27 Aug 18 Rip Ripon 6f GS 2yL 9-3 3/7 Sporting Chance (1½L) 10/1 93 97
5 Aug 18 Chs Chester 6f Gd 22y 9-5 1/5 Finoah (shd) 3/1 89 93
17 Jun 18 Sal Salisbury 6f GF 22yNv 9-7 1/8 Magical Wish (shd) 4/1 - 87
1 Jun 18 Bat Bath 5f Gd 52yNv 9-2 1/6 High Horse (1¼L) 3/1 - 87
17 May 18 Sal Salisbury 5f GF 42yNv 9-2 h1 5/8 Rumble Inthejungle (9L) 9/2 - 51
10
(8)
Silk colours for The Cruising Lord
The Cruising Lord
J: J F Egan
T: Michael Attwater
100/1 fourth in the Group 3 Cornwallis Stakes at Newmarket in October. Six-length Bath novice winner on his reappearance, but he came up short at Ascot afterwards, and is best watched on the back of that performance.
Won minor Bath sprint on return, but then only sixth in Ascot Group 3; more needed
724-16
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: 98
Days: 17
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 May 19 Asc Ascot 6f GF 3yG3 9-1 6/7 Calyx (5¼L) 50/1 98 98
19 Apr 19 Bat Bath 5.5f GF 43yNv 9-2 1/5 Bluebell Time (6L) 5/2 98 92
12 Oct 18 Nmk Newmarket 5f GF 2yG3 9-1 4/14 Sergei Prokofiev (3¾L) 100/1 - 98
14 Sep 18 San Sandown 5f GS 52yMd 9-5 2/12 Astronaut (1½L) 8/1 - 73
3 Sep 18 Wdr Windsor 6f GF 42yNv 9-2 7/13 Dirty Rascal (6¾L) 66/1 - 58
11
(5)
Silk colours for Kurious
Kurious
J: Andrea Atzeni
T: Henry Candy
A smart juvenile who ran better than the finishing position suggests in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot. Finished a close second in a handicap at Sandown on her reappearance last month, and that form has been franked since; improvement forthcoming.
Lightly raced, progressive; head second in 5f Sandown handicap on return; more to come
194-2
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: 95
Days: 22
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
26 Apr 19 San Sandown 5f GF 23yHc 9-6 2/12 Leodis Dream (hd) 7/2 92 97
2 Nov 18 Nmk Newmarket 6f Sft 2yL 9-0 4/7 Angelic Light (2¼L) 5/2F - 89
20 Jun 18 Asc Ascot 5f GF 2yG2 9-0 9/22 Signora Cabello (2½L) 7/1 - 90
7 Jun 18 San Sandown 5f GF 52yNv 9-0 1/11 Heartwarming (¾L) 9/1 - 86
12
(1)
Silk colours for Red Impression
D
BF
Red Impression
J: Jason Watson
T: Roger Charlton
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Distance Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts at this distance (67%)
Has recorded progressive RPR’s in her three starts to date; beaten just a half-length into third in a Listed race at Chelmsford earlier this month. This race looks tougher though, and she looks up against it here on her first start on turf.
Three starts over this trip on AW, progressive; two minor wins, 3rd in Chelmsford Listed
11-3
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: 96
Days: 16
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
2 May 19 Cfd Chelmsford (AW) 6f St 3yL 9-0 3/13 Isaan Queen (½L) 5/2F 96 99
24 Nov 18 Lin Lingfield (AW) 6f St 52yNv 9-4 1/10 Journey Of Life (6L) 8/15F - 91
16 Oct 18 Kem Kempton (AW) 6f St/Slw 52yMd 9-0 1/11 Listen To The Wind (3¾L) 13/8F - 86
Verdict

A good-looking, competitive Listed sprint for 3yos and RED IMPRESSION, promising on AW and likely effective on turf, makes most appeal.

Verdict silk image
Red Impression

Betting Forecast:

3/1 Moyassar,

7/2 Red Impression,

9/2 Khaadem,

8/1 Space Traveller,

9/1 Kurious,

12/1 Konchek,

14/1 Dunkerron,

16/1 Sunsprite,

20/1 Barbill,

Junius Brutus,

25/1 The Cruising Lord,

33/1 Oxted

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