Guide to Saturday’s Racing – Key Betting Angles

Guide to Saturday’s Racing – Key Betting Angles
© Racing Post / Grossick Racing Photography
Alex Peperell
Alex Peperell
Friday 12th April 2019

Alex is a horse racing enthusiast who first got into the sport when watching Channel 4 Racing on a Saturday afternoon with his Grandad. A Sports Journalism Diploma began a path to working in the horse racing industry.

An excellent range of action to get stuck into this afternoon, with jumps taking centre stage at Ayr with the Scottish Grand National and Newbury hosting Guineas trails on our ITV Racing tips.

The supporting card at Ayr has plenty of quality, especially in the Scottish Champion Hurdle. Three Group 3’s at Newbury as well as a couple of the same class at Naas make for a stellar day.


Key Races

The big betting race of the day is undoubtedly the Scottish Grand National. Twenty-eight runners go to post and they’re headed by Nicky Henderson’s impressive Cheltenham Festival winner Beware The Bear. Previous winning owner Trevor Hemmings has two runners in the shape of Vintage Clouds who will be looking to make amends for his early unseat at Aintree a week ago, as well as the unexposed Cloth Cap.

Dancing Vega was tremendously impressive on her racecourse debut back in October, but takes a big leap in class into the Fred Darling StakesSo Perfect was a good third in Group 1 company at the end of last season and Dutch Treat was second against the boys over this course and distance which puts her bang in the mix.

No Too Darn Hot in the Greenham Stakes, but there is still plenty of quality with the likes of Hello Youmzain, who ended last season with a comfortable Group 2 win in France. Boitron is a course and distance winner who wasn’t quite up to Group 1 company when last seen and Great Scot is well suited by soft ground, is unbeaten at the trip and claimed the scalp of Breeders’ Cup winer Line Of Duty last campaign.


NAP of the Day

The best bet comes in the shape of the rapidly improving King’s Advice. Since moving to Mark Johnston’s stable, the son of Frankel is unbeaten in three starts, all coming with plenty to spare at the line.

He does have to carry top weight, but he’s progressing at a rate of knots and it’s unlikely connections are at the bottom of him yet with just the total of eleven starts under his belt.


Outsider to Watch

One to keep an eye on at a big price is I Know How for Julie Camacho. He has only had the five runs and won over course and distance first time up last season, so he may be best caught fresh.

Slightly below form on his final two runs last campaign, they were both over seven furlongs and a return to six furlongs here will hopefully see him to better effect. His runs in novice company as a two year old were in fairly decent company which puts him right in the mix off a mark of 70.


Trainer & Jockey to Watch

Tom Dascombe has an extremely good record when sending his horses to Newbury over the past twelve months. He’s had 4 winners from just 10 runners at the venue, equating to a strike rate of 40% with a profit of +£13.25 to £1 level stakes.

Combine that along with jockey Richard Kingscote’s 25% strike rate at the venue over the same period, they are a dangerous combination who team up with four runners.

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