9.15pm Chelmsford Tips & Betting Preview 11/03/2017

There are a few questionable types in this, see our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: The booking of Pat Cosgrave really takes the eye in this and it could pay to side with MASTER OF HEAVEN. He has a poor overall record but he’s a C&D winner and looks on a workable mark based on his recent form. He’s a more reliable option than Ertidaad who’s very inconsistent whilst Fast On is the really interesting runner although his record is even worse at 2 wins from 56 runs.

1 SUBLIMATION – Steps up in trip following his seasonal reappearance last time out. He was beaten 8 lengths in an amateur handicap and the handicapper drops him below 60 for the first time today to a mark of 57 which looks reasonable enough. He’s going to have to shoulder top weight here and he’s drawn towards the outside which isn’t ideal and he does have an effective rise in the weights without a 7lb claimer here. Difficult to recommend.

2 MUZAAHIM – Trainers first runner here and this lightly raced 6yo is of interest. He’s dropped 2lbs for an 8 length defeat last time out but is stepped up in trip here and could be well handicapped having placed off higher than this. He’s probably got some issues and connections apply the hood for the first time which may spark some improvement although he has been off the track for 81 days and may be quite a fragile sort. He’s of interest though and betting may be insightful.

3 HAABIS – First time cheekpieces today for this very lightly raced 4yo. He made his seasonal reappearance at Kempton last month and didn’t run too poorly although he did finish seventh of the eight strong field. He drops down another 5lbs here for a trainer with a 25% strike rate and he’s not entirely discounted. He does need to do a lot more though and isn’t a safe prospect at all although Luke Morris should get plenty out of him.

4 SPRYT – First run for new yard today and his form is very regressive having dropped 25lbs since his last victory just last July. He’s obviously well-handicapped if he can find just a little bit of last year’s early season form but there’s nothing in his profile to suggest that’s about to come now he steps up to 10 furlongs. He’s another 4lbs lighter here but he’s hard to recommend although the first time hood is applied.

5 HYDRANT – 11 year old who makes his 100th career start in this. He’s only scored once in 27 starts on the AW and his overall form looks very poor of late with his last placed effort coming in December of last year. He does slip down another 2lbs in the weights here and the booking of Connor Beasley does take the eye although more is going to be needed here and is perhaps best watched in this.

6 FAST ON – Trainer has one win from 4 attempts here but his runner’s record is an abysmal 2 wins from 56 races. Connections won’t be bringing him all the way here for a run around and he’s worth a second look in the betting given he did win over C&D when sent off the 9/2 favourite back in October. He’s still 5lbs higher than that though although his riders claim negates the difference. One of the more interesting runners.

7 MASTER OF HEAVEN – Career record of 1 win in 17 starts is far from inspiring and the trainer only has a 9% strike rate here. He was very well beaten on his last start here although he is a C&D winner and that was only off 1lb lower. Pat Cosgrave is back on today for the first time since that victory and he’s definitely not without a chance having been rated 68 just last May. Market support would be very interesting.

8 ERTIDAAD – Ran a lovely race over C&D back in February and was beaten by a runaway winner. The handicapper has dropped him 1lb for that and David Parkes takes off 5lbs again today which should aid his cause. He does have to race off 1lb out of the handicap here though and these horses are very inconsistent so it may be a bit much to expect a replication of that form here. He does remain on a workable mark but you wouldn’t want to be taking a short price about him in this basement grade contest.

9 MR TURNER – Has done very little in 8 starts to date and hasn’t finished any better than seventh on all of those runs. He steps back up to 10 furlongs today for the first time since April of last year and that’s the only real hopeful angle into any sort of improvement. He’s started at big odds his last couple and it would be a surprise to see him win here now 1lb wrong at the weights.

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