8.10pm Kempton tips for Wednesday’s Class 4 race. A qualifier for the London Middle Distance Series, this handicap is likely to be fiercely competitive. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.
IN SUMMARY: It’s impossible to get away from PLY, who won over 1m 2f at this venue on his latest start in impressive fashion. He quickened clear in the style of a smart horse and a six pound penalty will not be enough to stop him going in again for Roger Charlton. The main danger is Desert Ruler who arrives here on the back of four second places in his last five runs and, although he perhaps deserves a win, he’ll be settling for second again at best.
1 SLEEP EASY – Strong stayer for Neil Mulholland who stays 2m 4f over hurdles, finding the 1m 4f trip on the sharp side at Salisbury three weeks ago. He stays at the same trip here and the same story is likely in the sense that he’ll be outpaced early.
2 PERFECT QUEST – Progressive earlier this season for Clive Cox, but she was disappointing when last seen at Salisbury and has her stamina to prove at this distance. She was left behind readily at this trip two starts ago and others look stronger.
3 ADMIRAL’S SUNSET – Six pounds above her last winning mark and this trip is far from ideal, badly outpaced over this distance at Carlisle two starts ago. She was well held at Newbury when last seen and looks up against it down in trip.
4 JUFN – Likely to set the fractions under Liam Keniry, front running his way to third at Chelmsford last month. A soft lead here is not going to be easy to come by though and his stamina is a question mark, so it’s not hard to look elsewhere.
5 ARTFUL ROGUE – Tends to race over 1m 4f, with this trip a minimum for this tough and consistent sort. He was, however, well held when last seen at this venue and more is needed here. A strong pace would give him each way claims, but he’s vulnerable for win purposes.
6 PLY – Won a 1m 2f handicap here on his latest start in impressive style, eased down to win by five lengths. He looks well treated under a six pound penalty and should be very tough to beat for Roger Charlton as he still remains unexposed.
7 LUV U WHATEVER – Beaten out of sight behind Ply over the 1m 2f here nine days ago and a turnaround with that rival would be a huge shock. He’s now eight pounds below his last winning mark and is well treated at his best, but he’s clearly a risky play.
8 ELECTION DAY – Rarely runs a bad race for Mark Johnston, finishing midfield at Pontefract when last seen, albeit behind by five lengths. Needs to find improvement for this step up in distance and his stamina for this far isn’t backed up by his pedigree. Best watched.
9 ROMANOR – Got off the mark at the ninth attempt when taking a Class 5 Handicap at Windsor when last seen, keeping on well to lead in the final strides. He’s now three pounds higher in a much tougher race, but could improve for the change to all weather. Has a chance for in-form connections.
10 MILKY WAY – Lightly raced for Gary Moore, not beaten far on his latest start when fourth at Windsor. More is needed here, but he sports the first-time blinkers which could prompt further improvement. Each way claims with Hector Crouch claiming three pounds.
12 DOLPHIN VILLAGE – Two wins from 22 all weather starts and he’s on a handy mark at present, but he’s been beaten out of sight on his last two runs and that leaves him with plenty to prove. Hard to recommend, despite Josie Gordon taking over.
13 DESERT RULER – Form figures of 23222 in 2017 and he does deserve a victory at this stage, going down by a head at Redcar when last seen. He is entitled to go close again off the same mark, but he does need to prove his stamina for the extra furlong and, with his record, you’d do well to trust him.
14 SONNETIST – Showed promise in three maiden runs for Richard Hannon, but he was beaten out of sight when sixth at Salisbury on his latest start. Makes his handicap debut off a mark of 76, but he’s been off since June and is best watched.
11 PIOPNEERTOWN – Won at the eighth attempt when winning at 1m 4f Handicap at Newcastle five days ago and he is handily weighted under a six pound penalty. That said, a drop back in trip isn’t guaranteed to suit and he may just be tapped for toe at a crucial stage.