8.10pm Kempton Tips and Betting Preview 03/10/2017

8.10pm Kempton tips for Tuesday’s Class 4 race. A strong field of 13 fillies go to post for this mile handicap on Tuesday evening. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.

IN SUMMARY: Influent won easily on stable debut for James Tate over course and distance six weeks ago, with further improvement likely now that she’s in handicaps. She should run well, but it’s hard to get away from THE YELLOW BUS who won easily at Wolverhampton in July off only three pounds lower and has run with credit the last twice. She didn’t get the best of runs when fifth over course and distance last time and was never nearer at the line, kept on the same mark. Paddy Bradley now takes over and, with proven all weather form, she’ll be tough to peg back.

1 NORMANDIE LADY – One of the more experienced runners in the field who has been inconsistent on recent starts, last seen at Nottingham where she was well held in fifth. She’s now eased in grade and has each way possibilities back on the all weather, but others have more potential.

2 HAWATIF – Poor strike rate and her latest victory came in July 2016, although she’s now six pounds below this mark and should be sharper for her seasonal return. That said, she has a poor record on the all weather and it’s not hard to look elsewhere on this occasion.

3 ASSANILKA – Won over course and distance on debut for Harry Dunlop but she’s been soundly beaten on four starts since. She showed very little to work with when ninth at Sandown when last seen and that race was no easier than this. Up against it here.

4 DISTANT – Won on her second start when taking a Chelmsford maiden and ran well on handicap debut when fourth over course and distance. She had excuses when last seen and she looked progressive beforehand, so should make a bold bid here and has to be respected.

5 INFLUENT – Made a poor debut when in the care of Hugo Palmer, but she made the best possible start for James Tate, winning a course and distance maiden by a wide margin. A mark of 78 isn’t harsh on handicap debut and there is likely more to come, so she’s an interesting contender here.

6 CARDUCCI – Two wins from 11 starts, finishing second two starts ago at Sandown, although she was soundly beaten at Windsor when last seen. Her previous all weather effort was poor and she needs to bounce back from that latest run, so it’s best to look elsewhere.

7 QUEENSBRYDGE – Only one win from 12 starts, however she hasn’t run badly in mile handicaps on the all weather the last thrice. She wasn’t beaten far when last seen at Chelmsford and she’s on the same mark, so she holds each way possibilities once again.

8 THE YELLOW BUS – Won three starts ago at Wolverhampton for John Butler and she’s only three pounds higher here, making her stable debut for Daniel Steele. She hasn’t run badly in two runs since and looks fairly treated off this mark, so looks sure to make a bold bid under Paddy Bradley.

9 BRAZTIME – Handicapper has been firmly in charge of late, with her latest seventh no better than fair as she was never involved at any stage. She’s on the same mark here and looks set for another struggle unless improving from seemingly nowhere.

10 MEDICEAN BALLET – Won on her third start in a weak maiden at Newmarket last year and, although she’s low mileage still, the handicapper has her number at present. She was well held at Chepstow when last seen, making no progress late on and she’s another who can be passed over.

11 CALEDONIA DUCHESS – Returned to form over course and distance last time out, keeping on well to finish second. She does now go up two classes though and makes this is a much tougher task, with the fact that she’s a 13 race maiden further damaging her claims.

12 TEOMARIA – Raced far too freely in three maidens for Karl Burke, pulling her chance away when third at Thirsk last month. A mark of 67 isn’t harsh on handicap debut, but she has to settle better to give herself a chance and that is a big risk to take with no headgear enlisted.

13 PATCHING – One win from 16 starts, with her previous efforts on the all weather very poor compared to her turf runs. She was well beaten at Doncaster when last seen and her overall profile is very inconsistent, so it’s not hard to look elsewhere on this occasion.

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