6.40pm Chelmsford Tips & Betting Preview 31/03/2016

IN SUMMARY: All eyes and most of the early money appears to be for Eljaffaaf who is the form option but a poor price considering he has gone up in the weights. He did ought to win we suppose but the price is shocking and a small each way bet on Spinning Cobblers (20/1) could yet pay out for a yard in decent enough form and for a young jockey who looks good value for her claim, especially around here for some strange reason.

1 MALAYSIAN BOLEH (12/1)– Although carrying the number one cloth off a rating of 70 the six-year-old will not actually carry top weight thanks to the five-pound claim of jockey Callum Shepherd. All his six career wins have been on the all-weather tracks though only one of them here, but he has won three career starts off of higher handicap ratings and is not without a chance today as one of only three CD winners in the line up.

2 REFUSE COLETTE (20/1)–  Been off the track since last October and seems likely to be difficult to get fit at the age of seven after a lay off. Has won six races, five at Yarmouth, but never on the all-weather after twenty-two attempts making her difficult to fancy here.

3 SPINNING COBBLERS (20/1) – Yard in good heart and can be forgiven his last race when stopped in his run at Kempton and never in with a chance afterwards. Never won off anywhere near to this mark but jockey Milly Naseb takes seven off his back and has an excellent three wins from eight races record here – could place at a big price.

4 NATIONAL SERVICE (10/1) – Switched yards from Gordon Elliott to Rebecca Menzies for his new owners and ran acceptably first time up when fourth at Wolverhampton. Won his maiden in this class but nothing else since and may basically be better off in selling company.

5 MUTAFAAKIR (18/1)– His best form would give him a chance here and Ruth Carr is second to none when it comes to training sprinters.  Hasn’t won since September 2014 in ten races but is well in at his best even if he does seem on the downgrade these days.

6 NASRI (6/1) – Ran well last time out off a pound less when going under by a neck, just failing to catch Bouclier under Jamie Spencer. Tom Queally is back ion board today and he seems sure to make the frame at the very least. Unlikely to be improving at the age of ten but has won off of thirty-one pounds more, all be it back in 2011.

7 ELJAFFAAF (6/5) – Very much the in form option having won his last two races at Wolverhampton and Kempton and likely to go off favourite but has gone up eleven pounds in total, including five for his last race.  Did have a bit in hand last time after coming around the whole field but might not find life quite as easy in this better race.

8 NEW RICH (9/1)– In good form of late with a win and a second in his last two runs though looked a little one paced last time out and may be better over a seventh furlong or with a suicidal early pace he can attack off of. Good looking sort who could win this though Eve Johnson Houghton yard are a little quiet of late.

9 FOR AYMAN (18/1)– Joseph Tuite yard without a winner in the last two weeks and off the track for two months. Hasn’t won in last ten races but would be well weighted here at his best and could surprise a few of these, but seems an unlikely winner.

10 GHOST TRAIN (8/1) – Five pounds better off with New Rich on their February Lingfield meeting so is weighted to turn around that length and three quarter beating but seems to find one or more too good for him these days but regularly places and may do so again here.

11 COLOURBEARER (33/1) – Yet to even look like repeating his 2015 form when he won three on the bounce at Southwell (twice) and here at Chelmsford over course and distance. Well beaten in last three races (stone old last twice), and hard to fancy here until he shows some sign of a return to form.

myracing Forecast Prices: 6/4 Eljaddaaf, 5/1 Nasri, 7/1 Ghost Train, 8/1 New Rich, 10/1 National Service Malaysian Boleh, 16/1 Mutafaakir Spinning Cobblers For Ayman Refuse Colette, 33/1 Colourbearer   

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