5.50pm Kempton Tips & Betting Preview 08/09/2017

A field of eleven go to post for the first race of the evening at Kempton on Friday. See our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: A course and distance winner on debut, ASSANILKA has been set some very tough tasks since by Harry Dunlop including a Group 3 and two hot conditions races the last twice. She now drops markedly in class and has the cheekpieces put on, with a mark of 85 not at all harsh on what she’s shown in spite of her tough assignments. Rhiain Ingram takes off five pounds and she can fend off the challenge of Wannabe Friends, who arrives on the back of an impressive Goodwood victory.

1 RUN TO THE HILLS – Won with authority at Thirsk back in August 2016 off a five pound lower mark and he’s of strong interest on the back of that form, but confidence isn’t high at present. He’s been soundly beaten in two runs this year for George Peckham and he needs to bounce back to his best to threaten here. Hector Crouch takes the ride and he’s down in grade, but others are less risky.

2 WANNABE FRIENDS – Took his form to a whole new level when scoring at Goodwood on his latest start, scorching clear when asked to win by two lengths. He is now seven pounds higher but he should be happier back at the mile and couldn’t be discounted for the placings for a yard in such good form. That said, he looks vulnerable for win purposes now he’s upped in class on all weather debut.

3 ASSANILKA – Course and distance winner on debut for Harry Dunlop at odds of 50/1 and she’s faced some very stiff tasks since including Group 3 and two hot conditions races. She was last seen in France in a tough Conditions race where she was well beaten in eighth, with this race far more suitable for her. A mark of 85 is by no means harsh on what she’s shown ability wise and with this being a significant drop in class, she looks sure to play her hand in the cheekpieces.

4 JALELA – Won a maiden at Newmarket on his final maiden start, with the form of that race working out well, but she did herself no justice when well beaten on handicap debut at Chelmsford. She should be capable of much better but down only three pounds she does have a point to prove for Richard Hannon. Rossa Ryan takes off seven pounds, but others are preferred on this occasion.

5 DREAM OF SUMMER – Won over course and distance off a four pound lower mark in October but he’s been very poor since and he makes his debut for Jeremy Noseda today. He showed very little on his final start for Andrew Balding and it’s hard to fancy him at present as he shapes up to some very much in form rivals. He’s on a fair mark so couldn’t be entirely discounted, but others are less risky.

6 MORNING SUIT – Now only a pound above his last winning mark but that is only due to a string of very poor efforts of late. He was stone dead last on his latest start at Pontefract, eased towards the finish after weakening tamely at the two furlong pole. This is a drop in class and he’s more than capable off this mark/on this surface, but it’s hard to trust that he’ll put his best foot forward here. Best watched once again.

7 ERSTSTAVROBLOFELD – Won on debut at Yarmouth in August 2016 but the handicapper is firmly in charge at present. He was last seen finishing a well held fifth over seven furlongs here two weeks ago and although he’ll be happier back up in trip, he needs the handicapper to be kinder. He’s an each way contender off this mark but he looks vulnerable for win purposes.

8 COOL TEAM – Running consistently in maidens for Hugo Palmer but he’s not improving by any stretch of the imagination. He made his handicap debut at Wolverhampton on his latest start, finishing fifth and never dangerous at any stage. He remains on the same mark here and far more is needed in a race that is more competitive. Nicola Currie takes off seven pounds, but others are preferred.

9 ARCHER’S ARROW – Won over course and distance on his reappearance in maiden company but this $250,000 has finished last on his previous two runs for Saeed bin Suroor. Those were at the seven and six furlong trips though and he’ll be more at home over the mile, with a bounce back to form no surprise given the connections. Experienced claimer Callum Shepherd takes the ride and he’s not one to dismiss.

10 MISTER MUSIC – Losing run stretches back to July 2015 and he’s had plenty of chances since then for Tony Carroll. His latest fourth at Goodwood was no more than fair, but it was over the seven and the mile looks his more ideal trip. Previous runs here in recent times have resulted in him finishing no better than midfield staying on with no chance and with the amount of luck he’ll need here, he’s best watched.

11 ZAMJAR – Now three pounds below his last winning mark, but that came over the six furlong trip at Chester and he’s been very disappointing since. His stamina is far from assured now that he jumps up to the mile distance and it seems as though the gelding operation has had the opposite effect of what was desired. Hard to recommend him on this occasion.

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