5.20pm Newmarket Tips & Betting Preview 29/09/2017

5.20pm Newmarket tips for Friday’s Class 2 race. The consolation race for Saturday’s Cambridgeshire may only have half the field size, but it is still a hugely competitive handicap over nine furlongs with nearly £19,000 to the winner. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.

IN SUMMARY: AFAAK is bred to be a star out of 1000 Guineas winner Ghanaati. He has shown his best form with cut in the ground, shaping as if this step up in trip is going to see him in a better light. Addeybb is another lightly raced three-year-old who promises to be suited by this in-between trip and with only four races under his belt he should have more to come. Mountain Angel is closely matched with the selection on their Doncaster running earlier in the season, while One Word More is well treated on his old form and looks a strong each way contender.

1 ONE WORD MORE – Tricky to win with (just 3/40), yet he arrives on a career low mark. Ran on strongly on soft ground at the end of the Betfred Mile at Glorious Goodwood which suggests that this trip will suit. Big each way player with the ground in his favour.

2 ROTHERWICK – Three times a winner over this specialist trip, including at this track. He has had consistent form this season, albeit at a lower level. Ground will be no issue and he’s an each way player at this distance

3 CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS – Stepped forward this season, winning twice at a much lower level. His best form has come on quicker ground which has to be a concern when stepping up in class.

4 MON BEAU VISAGE – Arrives on the hunt for a hat-trick having scored in Class 4 company the last twice. That has pushed him to a career high mark, but the step in trip may help to offset that.

5 ADDEYBB – Lightly raced, he didn’t quite see out a mile and a quarter on soft ground last time. Cut in the ground is no problem, looks like one of the more likely types given his profile if this trip proves to be the key.

6 CHIEFOFCHIEFS – Just a pound higher than when landing a competitive York handicap in May in first-time cheekpieces. Hasn’t run to that same level in three starts since, so although the mark is fine, the headgear effect may be wearing off.

7 AFAAK – Bred to be far better than a handicapper, he has shown his best form so far with cut in the ground. Heavily backed in the Britannia at Royal Ascot, he is clearly thought capable of better. With conditions in his favour, he is a big player.

8 FIRE BRIGADE – Improved rapidly this season for being gelded, showing the best of his form on soft ground. Stays a mile well, shaping as if this trip would be within reach. Needs a little more again, but that is a possibility.

9 WEALTH TAX – Twice a winner in August on deep ground at Class 5 level, he has not got close to that since. This looks at least one grade beyond his capabilities with less cut in the ground than he ideally needs.

10 LAWMAKING – Landed a 33/1 preview winner for us on the July course, he has struggled in better races since. Conditions will suit him, but the suspicion is that he needs softer opposition if he is to get his head back in front.

11 FIRE TREE – Another to lose his form having picked up a couple of wins. Has form with cut in the ground and the trip should suit, but this looks plenty deep enough water for him to be swimming in and it looks like a struggle coming.

12 DAIRA PRINCE – Clung on to score over ten furlongs in June, the step down in trip since has suited. Soft ground saw him turned over at a short price two runs back so connections will be hoping for drying conditions. Each way chance if they are suitable.

13 BOOTS AND SPURS – Back down to a workable mark, he will have no issues with conditions. Should find at least one or two of the more progressive ones able to outdo him at this level.

14 ARCHIE – 0/15 since scoring on his debut, he has suggested a return to form in recent starts on soft ground. Shaping as though he needs this step up in trip, he is dangerously treated if able to put it all together once more.

15 MOUNTAIN ANGEL – Two pounds better off for a three quarters of a length beating from Afaak in June. He has filled the runner-up spot too often for comfort this season, but, with conditions in his favour, another placed effort wouldn’t be surprising.

16 PALMERSTON – Beat a regular bridesmaid when scoring at Beverley in May, he is now a pound lower than that victory. That would make him of interest at a lower level, but this seems beyond him at present.

17 TYRSAL – Shown solid form this season at his level at Yarmouth. His level is at Class 6, however, so he is the first to draw a line through given the depth of this contest.

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