4.45pm Ffos Las Tips & Betting Preview 20/03/2016

IN SUMMARY: Still Believing scores good marks for consistency and is expected to be in the thick of things but it could be worth chancing BELMOUNT (7/1), who has a point to prove after a couple of below-par performances but is now too well handicapped to resist. Horatio Hornblower is also on a workable mark if back on song, while Awaywiththegreys, a winner over hurdles off 6lb higher in January, is a danger to all if he finds some fluency over the fences.

1 Beforeall – Rewarded determined ride when narrow winner at Fakenham (3m, soft) in January but has become very inconsistent in recent years and struggled in the Eider Chase on his latest outing; this race is easier but he needs to respond well to first-time cheekpieces.

2 Rebeccas Choice – Last month’s hurdle defeat from out of the handicap shouldn’t be viewed harshly but he was also soundly beaten on his latest start over fences and is getting very long in the tooth now; stays very well but others have much more appealing profiles.

3 Victors Serenade – Badly lost his way last season and has also looked out of sorts on both outings this term; well handicapped now and is suited by this C&D (won this race in 2012) but huge leap of faith required to support him at present; hood refitted.

4 Big Society – Returned to form with win at Chepstow (2m7f, heavy) in November, his second start for current stable, and has been placed on two of his three subsequent outings; however, raced very lazily when third over C&D last month and it’s hard to predict the extent to which he’ll warm to the task this time.

5 Horatio Hornblower – Quite lightly raced since opening account over fences on Boxing Day 2014 and needs to bounce back from a disappointing run over C&D last month, but today’s less-testing ground is probably in his favour and his second at Warwick (3m, good) in October was a decent effort; enters calculations.

6 Awaywiththegreys – Unraced over fences since 2014 and yet fully to convince in this sphere but undoubtedly well handicapped on hurdle form, and dug deep to score in that sphere at Chepstow (3m, heavy) in January; good chance if able to put together a decent round of jumping.

7 Hi Vic – Won three of his first four chases but was hiked up the weights for scoring by 26l at Uttoxeter (2m6f, heavy) in November and comes here after a poor performance last month; remains lightly raced for his age but needs to find something extra.

8 Globalisation – Failed to complete consecutive starts after winning chase debut here (2m3f, heavy) in November but got back on track when staying-on third in first-time cheekpieces at Ludlow (2m4f, soft) this month and looks well worth another crack at this sort of trip.

9 Belmount – Pulled up on penultimate outing and looked beaten when unseating rider when last in action, so comes here with some questions to answer; however, he’s now 10lb lower than when placed at Newbury (3m2f, good to soft) in November and dangerous to ignore.

10 Still Believing – Has reached the frame in the last eight of her ten chases, including when scoring at Ludlow (3m1f, heavy) in January; holds no secrets from the handicapper but usually finishes strongly and can make her presence felt again here.

myracing Forecast Prices: 4/1 Still Believing, 5/1 Globalisation, 6/1 Big Society, Horatio Hornblower, 7/1 Awaywiththegreys, Belmount, 10/1 Victors Serenade, 12/1 Beforeall, Hi Vic, 20/1 Rebeccas Choice

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