4.30pm Redcar Tips & Betting Preview 19/09/2017

A field of twelve go to post for the twelfth race of the day at Redcar on Tuesday. See our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: On handicap debut in July 2016 PATENT placed off a seventeen pound higher mark and although he’s yet to win from fourteen starts, he’s now far too well treated to ignore for Peter Niven. He stayed on when it was all too late over the 1m 4f trip on his latest start and a step up to this distance is sure to spark improvement. He can finally get off the mark at the expense of Stanarley Pic, who pulled well clear with another rival when winning over course and distance on his latest start.

1 STANARLEY PIC – Ending a long losing run when scoring over course and distance on his latest start, rallying gamely to wrest back the advantage late on from a horse who has won since. He’s now five pounds higher here but that form clearly stands up well and sofer ground is perfectly fine, so he looks sure to play a leading role from the front and has to be respected on his bid for a double.

2 ROYAL HEADLEY – Has finished fourth on all three of his runs for David O’Meara, taking a step backwards on his third start when beaten a long way at Ripon two weeks ago. He now makes his handicap debut off a mark of 65 and he could easily be capable of better, but his stamina is far from assured and softer ground is another question mark. A leap of faith is required on this occasion and others look stronger candidates.

3 JAN DE HEEM – Runs his race more often than not for Tina Jackson, though he’s been disappointing the last twice and he was way behind Stanarley Pic over course and distance on his penultimate run. That leaves him with a mountain to climb even on revised terms and although he’s capable of better than he’s shown of late, others do look far more solid propositions on this occasion.

4 CAVALIERI – Latest win came over the two mile distance here back in April off a one pound lower mark and he’s likely to find this distance far too sharp. He’s been well below his best on recent starts for Philip Kirby, well beaten at Catterick last month when showing very little in the way of promise. He’s two pounds lower here and he handles cut in the ground, but others are readily preferred.

5 HARVEY’S HOPE – Won this race two year’s ago off a comparable mark, but he’s not been seen for 586 days and it’ll be some training performance to have him back to near his best after such a long time off the track. He was well beaten over hurdles when last seen in February 2016 and unless the market speaks in his favour, he’s best watched under five pound claimer Callum Rodriguez.

6 GREY MIST – Showed only minor promise on three maiden runs for Tim Easterby and he’s been well held in two 1m 6f handicaps the last twice, the latest of which in heavy ground. He was never better the rear division when outpaced and all but tailed off at Carlisle when last seen, with the handicapper not relenting as of yet. He needs far more in a race that is no easier and he’s best watched until he shows some form of note.

7 PRINCESS NEARCO – Eight race maiden for Patrick Holmes but she does have some form in the book that would entitle her to respect in this sort of race. He was not beaten far when third at Carlisle on his latest start, only beaten a length after keeping on strongly towards the finish after racing freely early on. She handles cut in the ground and should relish this step up in distance, so has to be respected.

8 CELTIC POWER – One win from twenty-one starts on the level, but he was failing to threaten the judge on the level before a well beaten effort on hurdling debut. His fifth at Ayr was a poor showing and he’s only a pound lower here in a similar race here, with improvement required. On the balance of his form, he tends to stand on too late and with such a poor record, he looks vulnerable once again.

9 PATENT – Fourteen race maiden who has been screaming out for a bigger stamina test on recent runs for Peter Niven, last seen at Catterick staying on strongly when the bird had already flown over the 1m 4f distance. He’s now fallen to a career low mark and this step up in trip will suit him hugely, with the in form Jason Hart taking the ride. He placed off a seventeen pound higher mark in July 2016 so this current mark looks far too lenient and he can finally break his duck at the fifteenth attempt.

10 LEGALIZED – Struggled to beat rivals on her first three runs for James Given and she was only marginally better on handicap debut when sixth at Beverley. She plugged on past beaten horses late on and although she had excuses when not taking to fibresand on her latest start, it’s hard to see her winning this unless she improves markedly for the three pound drop in the weights. Each way claims at the very most.

11 SILVER GLEAM – Has shown some flickers of ability that would see her able to win a race of this nature, but she’s so inconsistent that you couldn’t back her with much confidence at present. Upped to two miles on her latest start she was well beaten at Ripon and although she’ll be happier back down in trip, the softer ground isn’t sure to suit her. Others are easily preferred on this occasion.

12 PARKWARDEN – Has only run six times on the flat so far in his career, last seen on the level three starts ago when third at Carlisle and not beaten far. He is on the same mark here and although he’s been poor over hurdles since, he’s probably worth another chance at this sort of distance as he’s shaped as though he’ll stay at times. Softer ground is an unknown, but he’s an each way player if back to his best in this discipline.

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