4.25pm Warwick Tips and Betting Preview 05/10/2017

4.25pm Warwick tips for Thursday’s Class 3 race. A field of seven go to post for this three mile handicap chase at Warwick. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.

IN SUMMARY: Twice a winner earlier this year, LOFGREN was set two tough tasks to close out the season and drops back into Class 3 company for the first time since a close second at Aintree. He’s on the same mark here as that run and, with conditions to suit, he can take this contest under Will Kennedy for Donald McCain. Sego Success was going well when falling on his latest start at Kempton and heads up the dangers off the same mark after a break.

1 SEGO SUCCESS – Proved very frustrating to follow towards the end of last season, falling when leading at Kempton back in April. A mark of 136 is three pounds below his last winning mark and he can go well fresh, so he holds leading claims for an in-form yard.

2 BALLYCROSS – Six-year-old for Nigel Twiston-Davies who is a six race maiden over the larger obstacles, with his best effort coming when third at Chepstow in December. He’s faced two stiff tasks since and his current mark is lenient on the best of his hurdling form. He’s an each way player as he’s another who goes well fresh.

3 NO BUTS – Course winner back in February off a nine pound lower mark and he won two starts ago at Taunton, though he was pulled up off his revised mark when last seen in May. His current mark looks stiff enough and he probably needs some leniency from the handicapper.

4 SHANROE SANTOS – Can jump poorly, but he was progressive last season for Lucy Wadham, winning over course and distance before a good victory at Sandown. A mark of 129 isn’t beyond him if he regains his progressive curve on seasonal debut and, with conditions to suit, he looks dangerous.

5 LOFGREN – Twice a winner over fences earlier this year for Donald McCain, given two stiff tasks to close out the season. The last time he ran in this class he was a close second at Aintree and he’s on the same mark here, so should be tough to beat as he can go well fresh.

6 LONG LUNCH – Started to slide down the weights after ending last season very poorly, well beaten at Kempton when last seen in May. He’s still four pounds above his last winning mark and, despite being well treated on his hurdling form, he can only be watched here.

7 BEGGARS CROSS – Has been let down by his jumping on a number of occasions, falling at Newbury two starts ago before a poor run at Chepstow in April. More is needed on his seasonal debut and he’s entitled to need this run, so others are preferred.