Race Time: 3.45pm Meeting: Kempton Day: Saturday 9th January 2015 Full Race Name: William Hill – Home of Betting Handicap Hurdle Class Three
One race to go on a very busy day and an ultra competitive handicap as always though thanks to some in form runners we should be able to have a good shot find the winner. Winners at odds up to 40/1 in the last ten years mean anything can happen here, so don’t be afraid if our choice seems unfancied
Stars Over The Sea (15/2) is better than we have seen this season or at least, we believe that to be true, and may not be as bad a chance as others will have you think. Last March and April he ran some decent races behind the likes of All Yours, Peace And Co, and Petite Parisienne, and although he is yet to repeat those efforts, he has been off to freshen him up since October and there is a slim possibility he could return to his best in this easier to win contest.
Looking for horses at the very top of their game next and that has to lead us to the progressive Hollywood All Star (5/1), Graeme McPherson’s seven year old son of Kheleyf who has won his last two races at Bangor and Uttoxeter, one over this two mile trip and one over half a mile further. Starting his mini run off a mark of 95, he has to shoulder 112 today and has pretty much been forced to go up in class, but he is still a relative youngster and may just be improving faster than the handicapper can keep tabs on.
Continuing with the in form runners and it looks like the eleven year old Dormouse (7/1) is enjoying a second childhood following wins at Lingfield (twice) over this trip on heavy ground. He has needed guts and stamina to take both of those contests and seems to have them in abundance, but an added six pounds today really ought to be enough to stop his run today, though a place is still very much a possibility.
As we have mentioned in recent weeks, Colin Tizzard is having his best ever season, and in Jumps Road (9/1) he may add another winner to the seasonal tally. Now a nine year old, his rating peaked at 136 following a heavy ground win at Newbury in March 2014, but although he has run well since he hasn’t bothered the judge and gets in today off a sensible mark of 129 which we think gives him half a chance. His one run this season was a perfectly acceptable third to For Good Measure at Exeter in mid December, and assuming he improves for the run as you would expect at his age, he arrives here with a fighting chance at the very least with Noel Fehily expected to renew the partnership on Saturday.
One more needed against the field, and Tara Bridge (4/1) catches the eye having finished second on her return at Lingfield, less than three lengths behind Dormouse who he meets on ten pounds better terms today. As that was his first race since February he is fully entitled to improve for the race, and has only had limited experience as well with just the four career starts and he could well be a serious challenger here when the chips are down with so much more to offer by the look of things, and we will risk our money on him today at these weights.