3.35pm Ayr tips for Thursday’s Class 4 race. A field of ten go to post for this competitive handicap contested over the mile distance. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.
IN SUMMARY Le Chat D’Or and Dark Devil both hold strong form claims, but preference is for PRYING PANDORA who was second to a progressive three-year-old at Newmarket on her latest start. She is only three pounds higher for that neck second with the pair clear of the remainder, so she looks very tough to beat on her ideal ground.
1 LE CHAT D’OR – Tailed off when last seen at Haydock, but his last four wins have all come over this course and distance. He’s placed off a pound lower in the past, so this mark isn’t out of reach at his best and he loves softer ground; needs respect.
2 CANDELISA – Not at his best of late, with his latest victory coming when dropping into Selling company. Far more on his plate here on stable debut for Tony Coyle and, although his current mark is hugely generous on the best of his form, he could be recommended.
3 DARK DEVIL – Arrives here in great heart for Richard Fahey, winning two starts ago and only going down by half a length on his latest start at Chester. He’s a pound higher, but he has his conditions and won’t be far away under Paul Hanagan.
4 CE LA VIE – Has only run five times for Keith Dalgleish but she’s been poor in two handicap runs, well held over course and distance when last seen. She now drops in class – and in the weights – yet needs to find some improvement to be competitive here. Risky.
5 PRYING PANDORA – Second to the progressive Titi Makfi on her latest start at Newmarket, with the pair two lengths clear of the remainder. The form holds up well and she’s only three pounds higher here, so should be very tough to beat as softer ground is her optimum.
6 JAY KAY – Made all over course and distance last week for Karl Burke, though he was unchallenged that day. He has a penalty to contend with here and will be hustled on the frontend, so does look vulnerable at the weights today.
7 ROCK N ROLLA – Ran well three starts ago at Musselburgh but his last two runs have been very average, brushed off in Class 3 company when last seen. Dropping in grade will help, but he still needs more and, after only three days off the track, he’s best watched.
8 CRAZY TORNADO – Running well over course and distance in July but his form has slumped the last thrice, weakening tamely on his latest start. Still four pounds above his last winning mark and others look far more likely.
9 NEWMARKET WARRIOR – Went down by half a length at Newcastle on his latest start which was a good effort, but he arrives here three pounds outside the handicap. Jamie Gormley’s seven pound claim is useful, but he shouldn’t be good enough to take this.
10 ROYAL DUCHESS – All four of her victories have come at the seven furlongs at this track, with her two runs at the mile not suggesting that she was a stayer at this distance. Although lightly raced for her age, she is fully exposed now and looks vulnerable.