3.25pm Newbury Tips & Betting Preview 19/09/2015

Race Time3.25pm MeetingNewbury Day:  Saturday 19th September Distance: 5f 34yds
Full Race Name Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group Three) Class One

Why the powers that be at Channel 4 have decided not to show this Group Three contest is beyond our imagination – so we will cover it anyway as we could yet see a little bit of racing history being made! Twelve horses are due to go to post over the minimum trip (plenty of sprints this weekend for some reason), and although the form book suggest it is impossible, maybe new trainer and recently retired jockey Richard Hughes can at least go close with Elysian Flyer? Only a three year old, the son of Majestic Missile won three races out of three as a juvenile when trained by Richard Hannon, but has failed to bother the judge in two starts this year and has a bit to prove.  If we assume he needed his first run at Newbury and ignore that form, he was then third, beaten two and a quarter lengths by Waady in a Listed race last time out at Sandown when attempting to make all the running and getting caught by the winner a furlong out and then passed for second close home. The step up in class could be seen as a risky tactic but he may find it a little easier to get home here than the stiff uphill finish at Sandown and could even be the first winner for the yard and in a Group race at that! If you prefer to hunt down a horse I form representing a stable in form and who is best in at the weights then look no further than the Roger Varian trained Steps, now a seven year old but a recent winner at Doncaster in a first time visor which he sports again this afternoon. Put up to a career high rating of 114 that makes him the best horse in the race and as long as Jamie Spencer doesn’t overdo the waiting tactics, he seems sure to go close but possibly at too short a price for our liking?

David Elsworth is a trainer we like a lot and he has two entered here, with Justice Good the better fancied of the two judging on jockey bookings (Liam Keniry rides), though do watch your bets with his other contender (Justice Day) remarkably similarly named. Three wins from five attempts as a two year old is a more than healthy return but he has only had the one re when last of five to Gurkha Friend at Leicester when badly hampered back in April. The fact that he has been absent ever since is obviously a concern and his supporter would have to take his race fitness on trust, but he does have more room for improvement than most of the other runners and could yet prove to be the surprise package. From a three year old to a ten year old and we all know and love Kingsgate Native like an old friend after a total of 52 starts and seven victories. Previously with John Best and then Sir Michael Stoute, he is now in the care of Robert Cowell who is making a name for himself with his sprinters (Goldream for example), and we feel that at a price he could still be an each way option even at the veteran stage of his career. Way back in 2007 and 2008 he was winning Group One events at the likes of York and Ascot but that is a lifetime ago and unsurprisingly he is nit at that standard now, but he is still capable (a second to Cotai Glory at Doncaster last time out proves he still has ability), and if the price is right an each way bet beckons. Lastly, Caspian Prince also has chances based on his best form and a recent win at York in a handicap proves he is in good heart. Trained by Dean Ivory, none of his eleven victories have been above handicap class and much as he could well run on in to a place, we just cannot see him breaking his group race duck this afternoon at the seventh attempt.

 

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