3.10pm Kempton Tips & Betting Preview 09/01/2016

3.10pm Kempton Saturday 9th January

Free Tip: Le Reve at 13/2 Each Way

Race Details

Race Time: 3.10pm Meeting: Kempton Day: Saturday 9th January 2015 Full Race NameWilliam Hill – Bet On The Move Handicap Chase Class Two

Betting Preview

It would be fair to say that not too many in form runners are in attendance here with not a single horse who managed to win last time out in attendance, but we will soldier on regardless and start our preview with the Philip Hobbs trained Kruzhlinin (4/1) who has a light season last year with just the two races and may have more to give even at the age of nine. Previously with Donald McCain, this will be his first start for his new yard, but he has won four races over fences (three at Kelso), and on heavy ground so the soft forecast for today should hold no fears, and better still he has own off his current rating of 138 which has to be promising. Sadly, he hasn’t been seen since finishing second to Dawalan over hurdles at Musselburgh last February and it is a big big ask to get him fit enough first time out in a race of this standard, though if anyone can, Mr Hobbs is your man.

Le Reve (13/2) is all set to carry top weight for Lucy Wadham and is a decent enough chaser with three wins to his name but to carry eleven stone twelve here would just about need a career best effort off. A couple of poor runs at Ascot when pulled up behind Pendra and tenth of seventeen at Cheltenham have at least seen him dropped a couple of pounds for today to a better mark, and as he is so much better around this sort of track and gets the soft ground he seems happiest on, he will be carrying our each way cash this afternoon.

Those old enough will remember Polly Gundry as a very good jockey and she isn’t making a bad job of it as a trainer either and will be hoping for a big run from Harry’s Farewell (12/1) who won first time out this season at Newbury over even further (so stamina is not an issue) before falling at the first at Kempton, hopefully with no long lasting affect. He does have to run off a seven pound higher mark than his last victory this afternoon which will need a career best effort, but he isn’t over raced for a nine year old with just the eight starts over fences, and he does look a pretty solid each way alternative this afternoon.

Those who believe in luck or fate or whatever you may want to call it will feel that Shangani (7/1) deserves a change of fortune after unseating when hampered at Newbury (was beaten anyway), and then slipping up at Kempton when in contention after a slow start, and as he races off of the same mark as his last win (in March 2014 mind), the is no reason to think he can’t run a big race – other than his suspect temperament. He does look a bit reluctant to start sometimes, and can jump poorly on occasion, all of which needs to be built in to his price before we give him any serious consideration, but for an outsider he has the potential to run a much bigger race than his price implies.

Lastly for this race, Grandads Horse (12/1) has a decent enough name to make us take notice, but actually has the form in the book to win this at his best, its just a question of whether he can or can’t repeat that here. Now a ten year old, his last win was over a year ago which is the major negative, but it was off a mark of 139 and he runs off two pounds lower than that here. The three miles is fine, with three wins to his name over fences, as is the predicted soft going (also three wins), and as he hasn’t ever raced at Kempton, we cant say he will or won’t handle the track but see no reason why he shouldn’t.

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