2.35pm Goodwood Tips & Betting Preview 01/08/2015

Race Time2.35pm MeetingGlorious Goodwood Distance: 1m 4f
Full Race Name Educate A Child Stakes (Handicap) (Class 2)

These handicaps are never as easy as they look at first glance, but we have so many in form yards coupled with improving three year olds that we are pretty confident our selection will win, or the victor will come from our shortlist at the very least. Brian Meehan is on our list of hot trainers this season and he sends the progressive Senrima here after two wins in a row at Newbury and Haydock picked him out as a smart gelding to keep on the right side of. As he stays further a fast run race would be very much in his favour and he may even be forced to make his own pace on the day but at a mile and a half, there may be others with a touch of class who can accelerate off an early pace and we feel a place is his best chance this Saturday, with other wins to come when stepped back up in trip.

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Marcus Tregoning may have found a rabbits foot or something but whatever the reason, he has gone from the cold trainers list to near top of the hot in the last few weeks, and he runs River Dart here hoping for more victories. Unbeaten in two races so far this season, both over a mile and a quarter and at Ascot and here at Goodwood, he tries the mile and a half for the first time today, but has raced as if it suits with brave front running efforts and if he does get it (his breeding makes it questionable to be honest), then he won’t be easy to pass inside the final furlong.

With the Mark Johnston yard also in ridiculous form do we pick on one of his four entries or use the scattergun approach of others and mention them all?  Our job here is to make decisions and we have come down on the side of Novancia with Joe Fanning in the plate. His distance win at the other Newmarket track was all out by a nose hence a mere three pound weight rise, and he may only just get the trip to be fair, but that was on a much softer surface that sapped his stamina and on quicker turf today he ought to find life a little bit easier and let him run to his true abilities.  Popular jockey Frankie Dettori is also having a bit of a revival this season and seems to be enjoying life again, which may yet mean he can conjure one more win out of Barreesh for the Richard Hannon yard. He is another stepping up in trip after wins over ten furlongs or so (this time at Nottingham and then York), who on breeding would not get a mile and a half in a horse box, yet he ran on well last time out and could well improve for it. His rating of 87 seems a little high based on what he has actually achieved but in a race full of improvers, he is another to add to the shortlist.

Lastly, Sir Michael Stoute rounds off our little list of comeback Kings, and he sends Dartmouth here looking to follow up an easy win at Ascot last time out when he saw off Space Age by four lengths over this distance. The son of Dubawi seems to be improving and was reversing previous Ascot form with the Godolphin horse that day, who in turn ran in a Group Three earlier in the week, so the form has a solid look to it, and a six pound rise in the weights may not be enough to stop him today.

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