2.30pm Lingfield Tips & Betting Preview 02/12/2015

2.30pm Lingfield Wednesday 2nd December

Free Tip: Mindurownbusiness at 8/11

Race Details

Race Time: 2.30pm Meeting: Lingfield Day: Wednesday 2nd December 2015 Full Race Name: Coral Conditions Stakes Class Two

Betting Preview

We are being a bit spoiled this week with some pretty high class action on the all-weather to back up the expected National Hunt cards and we thought we would have a decent and detailed look at this Class Two Conditions Stakes worth a total of £19,000 minimum prize money which is not to be sniffed at. Sadly, we have ended up with a silly four runners, but it still isn’t an easy one to call!

Horse by Horse:

1 Energia Davos (4/1) – Now a seven year old, the gelded son of Torrential has won a total of five races from his thirty-one starts and over £160,000 in prize money, and will be looking to add another £11827.50 to that tally here. He is officially the best horse in the race by six pounds (though not at the weights carried today), and ran well enough last time out at Capannelle in Italy to finish eighth of thirteen to Dylan Mouth in the Premio Roma GBI Racing, a mile and a quarter Group One and a league away from this Class Two Conditions Stakes. Prior to that run he won a Group Three at Newmarket from the in form Sovereign Debt at odds of 40/1 and is dropping in class today – very much one for the short list.

2 Battalion (7/2) – William Haggas is keeping his team ticking over on the all-weather and has been in among the winners in recent weeks leaving this five year old in with a good shout in a surprisingly competitive race. He has already won a Listed race over course and distance which has to be a positive, but rarely runs two races the same as seen with his recent fifth of fourteen here with no real excuses from a sensible draw. He can take a keen hold and may well be allowed to bowl along in front in this small field with so little cover to rely on, and that may leave him there to be shot at down the home straight.

3 Ansaab (33/1) – Fourth place prize money here is £885.40 and on all known form that is what the son of Cape Cross will be collecting here. He did finish runner up to Franklin last time out over course and distance but that was a Class Three handicap which seems to be his limit, leaving him outclassed this afternoon. Trainer Michael Appleby is in good heart (and a very underrated trainer in our view), but even he seems unlikely to be able to conjure a win here out of this seven year old who is seventeen pounds adrift of the top rated on official ratings even at these weights – Alistair Rawlinson rides.

4 Mindurownbusiness (8/11) – The youngest horse in the race at the age of four and thus open to the most improvement though he may not need any more to win this afternoon. Stabled with Roger Varian in Newmarket, and another son of Cape Cross, he has won four of his last five races so arrives here at the top of his game but interestingly enough has yet to win at this mile and a quarter trip, sticking to a mile or so for his last eight races. On breeding he ought to get home (even if he did fail on his one attempt over a year ago), and in a race with no guaranteed early pace he will hopefully be able to use his added speed to zip past them as he wants to this afternoon.

Conclusion:

Four runner races ought to be easy but this could be a lot tighter than it looks despite the prices. Mindurownbusiness is the form pick based on recent victories and consistent efforts on the all-weather and will be our suggestion and despite his price we cannot seriously oppose him and there are not enough runners for an each way option.. He is bred to get home and as this may turn tactical he should be able to use his speed to his advantage and get to the front where it counts.

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