2.00pm Doncaster Tips & Betting Preview 24/10/2015

Race Time2.00pm MeetingDoncaster Day: Saturday 24th October
Distance: 6f  Full Race Name Scott Dobson Memorial Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Class One

Thank you Channel 4 for adding a new race to their original schedule and almost catching us off guard but it is a half decent race and well worth the added effort. If the Marco Botti yard were in better form (three winners from 31 runners as we write and four beaten favourites), we would be all over Dhahmaan (4/5) like a rash as he arrives here top of the official ratings and with the best form on offer.  Two wins in his first two races made for a perfect start before he stepped up in to Listed class at York when runner up to Donjuan Triumphant in the Rockingham Stakes over the same six-furlong trip he tackles today. On the day we weren’t overly impressed by the form but the winner has gone on to hack up by over five lengths in a Group Two at Maisons-Lafitte and franked the form big time. As that was the Botti horse’s first run in close to four months he is entitled to strip a bit fitter this afternoon and although he can’t be described necessarily as decent value, he is the most likely winner still on all known form lines.

Dream Destnation (6/1) is the only colt within shouting range based on their respective handicap marks, though we are wary that the figure is based largely on one run alone at Kempton. A 20/1 shot that day, the son of Showcasing ran a blinder to finish half a length second to joint favourite Rouleau in the Group Three contest but as he has since finished a close to five length fourth to Quiet Reflection in a Listed race similar to this afternoon’s, we do feel his rating may yet be a bit higher than his true abilities.

As we all know (sometimes to our cost), Karl Burke is capable of wining the better juvenile events given the correct calibre of horse to go in to battle with and some will feel that Explosive Power (16/1) ought to place at the minimum here. The colt has taken a little while to come to terms with exactly what is expected of a racehorse, but two educational runs at York and Pontefract were followed by a comfortable maiden victory at Redcar on soft ground where he beat Regal response by two and a half lengths, leading at the quarter mile pole and soon pulling clear of his field.  Despite a busy sixteen runner field that day, not one of his rivals has even run again since so the form is as unknown as it can possibly be, but he could do no more than put a big field to bed comfortably and he certainly deserves his shot at this rise in class.

Fighting Temeraire (10/1) has an each way profile about him having finished second third and first in his only three races to date, and Dean Ivory will have him primed to the moment for an attempt at the big time here. Once again, all we really have to go on is a maiden win, this time at Windsor when he was sent off the 2/1 favourite before being ridden clear when asked to beat Cee Jay by an easy two and three quarter lengths. We do suspect the turf may have been riding a little softer than the official description with the whole field strung out behind, but with a softer surface expected again at the weekend, the fact that he handles it can only be seen as an advantage.

To end with, Olly Stevens sends English Hero (33/1) here and it will be intriguing to see if he is improving as fast as it seems, or was his win last time out just a fluke? Two “out with the washing” runs at Kempton (beaten twenty-two lengths) and Nottingham (beaten eight and a half lengths) suggested he would never be good enough to actually win a race, yet he proved that all wrong with a neck success on soft going at York last time out at the rewarding odds of 20/1, staying on strongly over five and a half furlongs. Stepped up in trip here, either that was a fluke or he has turned a corner and although on form he isn’t good enough and should be well weighted in a little nursery elsewhere, he could find more behind him than in front today, assuming he improves again.

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