5.55pm Kempton Tips & Betting Preview 06/09/2017

A field of 14 go to post for the second race of the evening at Kempton on Wednesday. See our betting tips and full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: Despite being a longstanding maiden Chris Dwyer’s ARCANISTA should now take the beating in a depleted class 6 handicap. She’s been running well of late including when finishing runner up over an inadequate trip last time out. If turning up in similar form she has a great chance of breaking the duck at the 26th attempt.

3 MAGIC MIRROR – Won twice here earlier in the year for Mark Rimmell, but the handicapper looked firmly in charge when he was last seen in June. He made some progress from the rear to finish seventh, keeping on far too late and he remains on the same mark here. A strong pace would give him each way claims, but he’s likely to find at least one of these too good off this current mark.

4 JAZZ LEGEND – Better than his finishing position suggests on his latest start at Wolverhampton, only beaten around two lengths in sixth and he remains on the same mark for that run. On that basis he couldn’t be ruled out, but that run was over six furlongs and seven furlongs is far from guaranteed to suit. His only previous attempt ended in him being soundly beaten back in July and others make far more appeal.

5 FRANGARRY – Won a five furlong handicap at Lingfield in May in comfortable style, but he’s been very poor since for Alan Bailey and has a huge amount to prove. He was last seen at Yarmouth when only tenth and he’s only three pounds lower here, with a step up to this distance unlikely to suit. The Alan Bailey yard are in red-hot form, but that doesn’t do enough to tempt today.

6 ARCANISTA – Still a maiden after 25 starts, but he has a decent record here at Kempton and he posted one of his better efforts at Carlisle on his latest start, finishing second. That was over six furlongs and he should be much happier upped to the seven, with his handicap mark only two pounds higher than his latest run. He is a definite player despite his overall record and has to be considered.

7 WELSH INLET – Won here over course and distance in May off a seven pound lower mark, but a repeat of that performance would be a surprise based on her recent outings. She has been soundly beaten on the turf of late, last seen at Salisbury when unable to land a blow. She should be happier back on the all weather, but it’s hard to be confident about her and others make more appeal on balance.

8 QUEENS ROYALE – No wins from eight starts for this daughter of Simulation, but she has been running well of late for Mick Appleby, finishing fourth at Thirsk on her latest start and not beaten far at all. She is one pound lower here and she’s run well at Kempton in the past, so a big run looks inbound under Robert Winston. She is unexposed compared to most of these and should make her presence felt.

10 ROYAL CAPER – Has scarcely been seen since 2015 but he did show some hope for the future when third over course and distance in May off a five pound higher mark. He was last seen at Lingfield where he was last in a very strange effort, squeezed for room and then immediately he went backwards when ridden. He should be capable of better and the handicapper has given him a huge chance, so he does hold each way claims.

11 LITTLE INDIAN – Course and distance winner whose latest win at this track came in January off a one pound lower mark, however he does need to rediscover some spark. He has been soundly beaten on his last three runs and his latest start at Yarmouth was particularly disappointing. He couldn’t be discounted, yet he’s very risky and couldn’t be backed with much confidence.

12 BIRD FOR LIFE – Has shown a hint of promise on her three runs in maidens for Mark Usher, posting a career best on her latest start when upped to the seven furlong trip. She finished sixth, never on terms and at no stage looking dangerous. That, however, wasn’t a bad maiden and this is much easier, with a mark of 54 not excessive on handicap debut. Nicola Currie takes off a very useful seven pounds and, with this being such a mediocre race, she could make them pay.

14 JASMINCITA – Struggling to beat rivals on most of her starts for George Baker, last seen at this venue over the mile where she failed to beat a rival after weakening tamely late on. A drop back in trip should suit, yet she hasn’t shown enough to suggest that she can win a race even of this nature.

Non runners:

 

1 FREIGHT TRAIN – Five-year-old who has been tumbling down the weights for Adrian Wintle and he’s now far too well treated to ignore. He won off of 16 pounds higher back in July 2016 and he now drops into Class 6 company for the first time in his career, so he should find this much easier than previous assignments. Paddy Bradley takes off a useful five pounds and he should be very tough to beat here.

2 ALKETIOS – Last win came way back in September 2015 and, although he has been far from disgraced in some runs this season, he’s still painfully inconsistent and fails to look likely to threaten the judge. He was very poor when only seventh at Brighton on Monday and off the back of that he looks set for a minor role here, racing off the same mark which makes him of limited appeal.

9 LADY MOREL – Got off the mark at the 11th attempt when winning at Brighton on Monday, leading in the final strides. She is turned out quickly under a penalty, but Hollie Doyle offsets most of it and she’s been in blistering form of late. The step up in trip will suit her based on previous efforts and she should make a very bold bid for a second career victory for Joseph Tuite.

13 APPEASE – Ended a long losing sequence when taking a weak handicap at Yarmouth on his latest start, with the form certainly not anything to shout about. He is now three pounds higher and is drawn very poorly, with a strong pace that he needs far from guaranteed. Shelley Birkett retains the ride and takes off three pounds once again, but others are preferred.

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