16:20 - Royal Ascot Preview & Tips
The three year old fillies take centre stage on Friday as seven go to post, chasing a Group 1 first prize of close to a quarter of a million pounds. Our Coronation Stakes 2017 tips and runner by runner preview can be found below.
IN SUMMARY: The betting suggests this is all about one filly, it’s hard to see WINTER getting beaten, given the form she has shown winning both the English and Irish 1000 Guineas. If she is able to cope with fast ground for the first time, Precieuse looks likely to be her biggest danger, having shown much improved form when stepped up to this trip for the first time to win the French 1000 Guineas. John Gosden is a master with fillies and his Dabyah looks third best in here.
1 DABYAH – John Gosden has won the race twice in the last eleven years, and this filly looked like a potential star when winning her first two races as a juvenile, including sluicing through the mud to win a Newbury conditions race. Stepped straight up into a Group 1 on the back of that win, she performed with huge credit in the Prix Marcel Boussac, just caught close home having tried to make all the running, Those front running tactics worked on her 2017 return in the Fred Darling although the bare form of that leaves her with a little to find and she is likely to be taken on for the lead.
2 HYDRANGEA – Likely to be the one who takes on Dabyah in the early stages, she is beginning to look exposed. She beat Winter on their respective 2017 debuts in the 1000 Guineas trial at Leopardstown. Winter turned that form around in no uncertain fashion in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket before again beating this filly in the Irish 1000 at The Curragh.
3 LA CORONEL – American filly who has picked up a pair of Group 3’s on firm ground at Keeneland for trainer Mark Casse. Casse sent Tepin to Royal Ascot in 2016 to land the Queen Anne Stakes so he knows what it takes to win at this meeting. She looks likely to relish conditions but on the level of form she has shown on the turf so far, she has a lot to find with the pick of the European fillies.
4 PRECIEUSE – Winner of this year’s French 1,000 Guineas, French raiders have been successful in this race the past two years and for that reason she deserves plenty of respect. That was on a very soft surface, with this by far the quickest ground that she has ever run on. She looked a smart filly beforehand, but it was the step up to a mile that saw her shine, improving a stone on her previous best to land a 33/1 shock. If coping with the ground, she can outrun the odds available and has place chances.
5 ROLY POLY – Finished second to Winter in the Irish 1000 Guineas, albeit almost five lengths behind her stablemate. That at least showed that she stays a mile, while this will be the first time this season that she gets the quick ground that she is needs to be seen at her best. She was behind La Coronel at the Breeders Cup and Precieuse in the French 1000 Guineas so despite the ground being in her favour, she has plenty on her plate to reverse form.
6 TOMYRIS – She has only had three runs, improving a stone on her previous runs each time. She scored at Listed level at York last time on soft ground, flashing her tail late on, suggesting that she wasn’t relishing conditions. The runner up – On Her Toes – did nothing for the form in the Sandringham Handicap on Wednesday and she faces an uphill battle against Winter on her form shown so far.
7 WINTER – Moved to Aidan O’Brien following a promising two year old campaign, and has improved considerably as a three year old. A runner up finish in the Group 3 1,000 Guineas Trial has been followed by the 1,000 Guineas and Irish 1,000 Guineas double. She won the latter by over four lengths and that form is by far the strongest on offer. Her Newmarket win came in similar conditions to today and with extra stamina in reserve the front runners will set the race up perfectly for Ryan Moore.