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Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2)
A seven furlong Group 2 event for fillies, recent winners have struggled to go on to make decent three-year-olds. Speciosa and Finsceal Beo won the race back-to-back in 2005 and 2006 before following up in the 1000 Guineas the next spring, so this has been a solid trial for the Classics in the past. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.
IN SUMMARY: It’s very hard to get away from NYALETI who was an impressive winner of a Group 3 at Ascot in July and she was only headed late on over the mile at the St Leger meeting on her latest start. She will be much happier dropped back a furlong in distance and she should have far too much speed for this field under James Doyle. The most interesting danger is Lightening Quick who won on debut in good fashion and is completely unexposed.
1 BUTTERSCOTCH – Won a maiden at the third attempt when taking a race at Naas in June, allowed to dictate her own fractions when second to Clemmie in a Group 3 on her latest start. She has claims on that form and she’s progressing, but she won’t have a soft lead here which does dampen her claims.
2 CAPOMENTO – Won on debut before finishing a close second at Sandown on her penultimate start, only denied by a nose. She was below form on her latest start at Deauville which is concerning and needs a bit more here to feature. Each way claims, but she’s unlikely to be good enough to win this.
3 CLUB TROPICANA – Showed some promise on debut and, although she did improve when third at Kempton in a Conditions race, she was likely flattered with her proximity to the leaders. Far more is needed in a tougher race and she’s readily dismissed.
4 ELIZABETH BENNET – Both of her wins and her best form has been on the all weather for Charlie Hills, winning a Nursery on her latest start. That form, however, is nowhere near the standard required here and returning to the turf won’t help her. Best watched under De Sousa.
5 GAVOTA – Won on her debut at Newmarket in taking fashion and backed that effort up with another very easy victory at Lingfield in a novice race. It’s hard to know how good she really is, completely unexposed for top connections. She’s the dark horse for Roger Charlton and is very interesting.
6 HIKMAA – Another who has won both her starts thus far, winning a maiden at Newcastle, however she didn’t need to improve to win a Chelmsford Novice, making heavy weather of it. This is much harder and it’s difficult to envisage her taking this with the calibre of opposition.
7 JULIET CAPULET – Won a Novice race to break her maiden at the fourth attempt and finished second on her latest start on the July Course in the Sweet Solera. Clearly stays well and has a good attitude, but more is required here and she’s playing for places only.
8 LIGHTENING QUICK – Irish raider for Ger Lyons who has a smart pedigree and won a competitive maiden at Leopardstown earlier this month. He pulled well clear with an O’Brien horse so the form should hold up and she’s completely unexposed. Market support would be very interesting and she’s respected.
9 NYALETI – Won the Princess Margaret at Ascot in impressive fashion before struggling in the Prix Morny. That, however, was no disgrace and she wasn’t beaten far when third at Doncaster in the May Hill over the mile which was perhaps too far. She’s a game filly who sets the standard on the best of her form, looking very tough to beat under James Doyle now that she’s back down in trip.
10 ROULETTE – Kept on well when sixth here on her debut, but she didn’t need to improve when holding on gamely to win a Goodwood maiden. Plenty more on her plate here and she won’t be getting a soft lead out in front, so it’s very easy to look elsewhere.