Limerick Betting Tips

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Limerick Betting Tips

Limerick Racecourse is a relatively young track, having opened in just 2001. It effectively replaced Greenpark racecourse, which was closed in 1999 having hosted racing for over 100 years. Located at Greenmount Park, it’s easily accessible from Limerick city centre via the M20 motorway and boasts three Grade 2 races each year – all Novice Chases over a variety of distances.

Limerick Betting Tips

Jumps Course

The jump track at Limerick racecourse is a fairly simple right-handed oval track of approximately 9 furlongs, with a 2 furlong run in. Runners face eight obstacles on each circuit, with two long U-shaped bends and two straights in between. The back straight is largely uphill and the final bend downhill, as well as a slight climb to the finishing post. Despite the fact it’s not as steep as the Cheltenham hill, it’s still an interesting track for judging Irish form which may convert well to Cheltenham for the Festival.

Flat Course

Identical to the jumps course, there is an extra chute for mile races to start just before the back straight. There are no flat races at Limerick shorter than 7 furlongs, so all races face the same climb up the back straight before running downhill to the final 2 furlong finishing straight. The 11 furlong and 12 furlong races start just before the finishing post and involve approximately a lap and a half of the course.

Limerick Draw Bias

As stated, there are no flat races over shorter than 7 furlongs at Limerick, meaning that there is a minimal draw bias impact. Draw bias is generally seen to its greatest effect over the shortest trips, as jockeys have less time to switch horses to better ground and less opportunities are available to get space against the rail if needed. There may be a slight bias towards being drawn low at Limerick over 7 furlongs, but given this is not seen out over 8 furlongs too it could well be that this is simply the result of either smaller fields or a small sample size.

Limerick Betting Trends

Limerick racecourse has been a successful hunting ground for Willie Mullins and top owner Rich Ricci. The latter has nine winners from just 23 runners for a 49% strike rate in the last five seasons. However, this is not borne out by a strong level stakes profit; in fact, backing each of the 23 runners with £1 at Starting Price would have resulted in a -£7 loss. That suggests that his horses are regularly overbet in the market, and value can be found elsewhere by taking them on.

On the flat, Chris Hayes has a solid 16 winners from 81 runners in the last five seasons. That 20% strike rate would have rewarded level stakes backers with a +£27 profit for a 33% Return On Investment. Moygale Stud Farm has also traditionally sent strong runners here – 6 winners from 11 runners have earned just +£2 profit to level stakes, suggesting the market is pricing them up correctly.

Limerick Feature Races

March:

  • EBF Mares Novice Chase (Grade 2) (2m 6f)
  • Shannon Spray Mares Novice Hurdle (2m 6f)

April:

  • Martin Molony Stakes (Listed) (1m 4f 110y)
  • Hugh McMahon Memorial Novice Chase (Grade 2) (3m)
  • Limerick Champion INH Flat Race (Listed) (2m)

October:

  • Dunraven Arms Hotel Novice Hurdle (Listed) (2m 5f)

December:

  • Greenmount Park Novice Chase (Grade 2) (2m 3f 120y)
  • Dorans Pride Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) (3m)

Racecourse Information

Official Website: http://www.curragh.ie/

Twitter: @LimerickRaces

Contact: + 353 61 320 000

Visitor Information: http://www.limerickraces.ie/horse-racing-limerick/guide-to-racing-at-limerick/