Kempton Park Betting Tips

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Kempton Park Betting Tips

Kempton Park Racecourse is located in Surrey, on the border of Greater London, and is in fact the closest racecourse to central London. It caters for both flat and jumps racing fans and has adjoining inner and outer courses. The feature race of the year is the King George VI Chase which takes place annually on Boxing Day and is also a good chance to see the Gold Cup contenders in action. Flat racing takes place all year round on the all-weather course which is now a Polytrack synthetic surface.

Kempton Park Betting Tips

Jumps Course

Technically, there are two jumps courses at Kempton – the summer and winter tracks. However, they are very similar, the only real difference being that they allow for fresher ground to be used for various meetings.

The jumps course at Kempton Park is a flat, right-handed track and suits the speed merchants. Here the fences are not too difficult to navigate in comparison with other courses around the UK. In fact, it’s the polar opposite to Cheltenham, where there are difficult fences to navigate followed by a stiff uphill climb to the finish.

Some horses can beat top class opposition at Kempton racecourse comfortably but then travel to the Cheltenham Festival and struggle to replicate that form. An example of this would be Silviniaco Conti who won two King George VI Chase’s at Kempton. However, he could never run a good race at Cheltenham due to the simple fact that the horse preferred a flatter track such as Kempton.

All Weather Course

Kempton has had a Polytrack surface on its flat course since 2006. This is a flat, right-handed oval track with two loops – the inner and outer circuits. The inner, shorter circuit is used for 5 furlong sprints and for races over 1 mile 1 furlong. However, the bends are extremely sharp, with a home straight of just under 2 furlongs. This favours horses that prefer to be up with the pace, especially over the minimum trip of 5 furlongs. The outer circuit, however, is more forgiving and isn’t as sharp; a long sweeping 3 furlong bend gives every horse a fair chance.

Kempton Park Draw Bias

The verdict is that low drawn horses are the ones to watch at Kempton races. It is a very sharp track with a short run to the first bend. In the majority of cases, those drawn wide have to sit and suffer at the back or else expend significant energy to get to the front. Over 5 furlongs there is a massive advantage to being drawn low.

Although the 6 furlongs is run on the outer course, there is still a huge bias for those horses drawn low. The same can also be said for 7 furlongs, where those drawn in stalls 1 and 2 enjoy a particularly low bias. There is a slight bias for those drawn low over 1 mile, but it is close and horses have been known to win from anywhere.

Kempton Park Betting Trends

Luke Morris is one of the hardest working flat jockeys at Kempton, having had over 1,000 rides in the last five seasons alone. However, he has just a 10% strike rate – 113 winners from 1117 rides to be exact – and a level stakes loss of -£341.85 shows that his runners are often underpriced in the market.

A trainer to follow is Saeed bin Suroor, who has an impressive 27% strike rate from his 243 runners at Kempton in the last five seasons; that’s 65 winners. Charlie Appleby, the other main British Godolphin trainer, also has a 25% strike rate here, meaning any horses carrying the famous royal blue silks should be closely considered when selecting your Kempton betting tips.

Over the jumps, the jockey to follow in the last five seasons has been Nico de Boinville. Despite having only 50 rides at the course, he’s managed 16 winners for an impressive 32% strike rate.

Kempton Park Feature Races

January:

  • williamhill.com Chase (Listed) (2m 4f 110y)

February:

  • Pendil Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (2m 4f 110y)
  • Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (2m)
  • Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (2m)

March:

  • Magnolia Stakes (Listed) (1m 2f)

April:

  • Snowdrop Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) (1m)

September:

  • September Stakes (Group 3) (1m 4f)
  • Sirenia Stakes (Group 3) (6f)
  • London Mile Handicap (Series Final) (1m)

October:

  • Betfair Exchange Hurdle (Listed) (2m)
  • Racing UK Novices’ Hurdle (LIsted) (2m)

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