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Won a four-runner novice race at Aintree before Christmas and was the sole finisher on the day. He followed that up with a good third in a Lingfield Grade 2 but disappointed when last seen at Kempton. Interestingly, he has had a wind op for a second time since, and is back in handicap company, so he could be primed for a huge run.
Very consistent horse who has finished second in three of his four chase starts since returning from a lengthy break in October, and showed he had plenty of staying prowess when second over just shy of three miles last time. First-time headgear goes on and with the Fry yard in form he must go well.
Didn’t have a consistent profile but made it two wins on the bounce with an impressive success in the Spring Mile at Doncaster last month on his return to action. He’s 4lb higher now but arrives here in top shape.
Looked an average enough horse but looked a different animal when stepped up to over 3m for the first time when leading pillar to post at Fairyhouse when last seen. This huge step up in trip is an obvious concern but Townend has chosen him over a certain stayer in Mr Incredible which could be telling.
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Lucky 15 tips provide a balance between the safety of singles (gaining a good chunk of your stake back if just one horse wins – so if the first of your 4 horses wins you definitely have a return) and the huge returns of an accumulator across four winning horses. They also remove that horrible feeling of being one leg off landing an accumulator as even if one horse loses you still win a large number of the 15 bets meaning healthy returns!
Our Each Way Lucky 15 tips consists of 30 bets in total – 15 “to win” bets, and 15 “to place” bets. Therefore, a £1 Each Way Lucky 15 totals £30, but even just one place will get you a return – albeit a small one!
A Lucky 15 involves backing 4 selections (horses) with 15 different bets – 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and one four fold accumulator. It offers a return for just one winning horse, while also increasing returns as more of your 4 horses win. As a Lucky15 involves 15 bets, the total cost of the bet is your Stake times 15. So a £1 Lucky 15 actually costs £15, a £2 Lucky 15 costs £30, and so on.
There are 3 types of “Lucky” bets in total:
Betfair’s bonuses increase as you add more selections – a Lucky 31 provides a 20% bonus if all 5 win while the Lucky 63 bonus is 25% for 6 winners.
We usually tip a To Win Lucky 15, rather than an Each Way Lucky 15, which means we need the 4 selections to win and not just place. Our tips vary in price from Evens to 5/1, but we generally try to keep them above 5/2 although it will depend on the tips our tipsters have available.
As with all our horse racing selections, many hours every day go into selecting out our tips. We utilise a number of statistical tools which combined with note taking and tracking horses while watching every race run in the UK & Ireland every day has allowed us to build up a huge database of horses we believe will run well – or will run poorly, as the case may be.
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