As with any of the big Festival’s, huge surprises happen, none more so in recent years than the John Best trained, Flashmans Papers, in the 2008 Windsor Castle Stakes at 100/1. Our Royal Ascot Tips are being added to the site gradually, with a Win Lucky 15 from four of the strongest of them. What surprises could we be looking at this year, though they are not necessarily going to be our tips!
1 – Miss Temple City – Queen Anne Stakes, Tuesday 28/1
An American mare won the contest in 2016 but it is a best priced 28/1 about lightning striking twice. Trainer Graham Motion has brought this mare across to Royal Ascot twice in the past, finishing fourth in the 2015 Coronation Stakes before filling the same spot in the 2016 Duke Of Cambridge. The ground went against her last year but the drying conditions this time around are going to be massively in her favour. She is a dual Grade 1 winner at Keeneland over this trip and she could well outrun her price and make the frame.
2 – Bossy Guest – Royal Hunt Cup, Wednesday 33/1
Not the easiest horse to win with, but he has finished third in a Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot as well as sixth in this race last year from a one pound higher mark. He returned to action with a fifth in the Spring Mile at Newbury, just a length and a quarter behind winner Banksea. A drop back to seven furlongs in the Victoria Cup last time at this track didn’t suit him, staying on steadily to finish seventh. Silvestre De Sousa will take the mount again, as he did in the 2016 Royal Hunt Cup and if they go quick enough in front, he has an excellent each way chance, especially if shopping around to find bookmakers offering five and six places.
3 – Vintage Folly – Ribblesdale Stakes, Thursday 16/1
Hugo Palmer’s daughter of Makfi has been seen just the twice in competitive action, most recently when runner up to Shutter Speed in the Musidora at York. The way she ran to the line on that occasion suggested that a step up to this sort of trip would be ideal and although on breeding, she probably wouldn’t want the ground too quick, the grass cover at Ascot and the final mile being steadily uphill, means that it is rarely ground which softer ground horses don’t let themselves down on. Shutter Speed wasn’t beaten far when fourth in the French Oaks next time out and she could look a spot of value.
4 – Wajnah – Coronation Stakes, Friday 33/1
Winter is the odds on favourite for this contest and rightly so but the French 1000 Guineas fourth looks a little overpriced at 33/1. Her sire Redoute’s Choice is a quick ground sire while her dam ran her best race in a limited three race career on good at Longchamp. Her half sister Baine won on firm ground at Lyon, so there is plenty in her pedigree to suggest that her first go on a quick surface is going to suit her better despite not having run on quicker than soft so far.
5 – Long On Value – Diamond Jubilee Stakes, Saturday 33/1
The American turf division is much maligned, often dismissed as simply not in the same class as the European turf horses. Long On Value came within a nose of landing a 66/1 shock in the Al Quoz Sprint on Dubai World Cup night at Meydan. He is yet to win above Group 2 level but that was over a mile and a furlong, with his peak career efforts coming over sprint trips. The yielding ground wouldn’t have been ideal in Dubai but this stiff six furlongs on good to firm will be perfect for a horse who has won over further and he looks like a big price given his talent.